Marius Thies

Profile image of Marius Thies
Full name: Marius Thies
Current rank: 38 since Aug. 6, 2018
Highest Rank: 38 first reached July 2, 2018 (5 weeks in total)
2018 race rank: 35
2017: 272
Titles/finals: 0/1

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

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Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
20180622 Aachen 2018 third place match
Isabell Stroben
1533
1483
+50
57.1 %
71.4 %
+14.3 %
Win
Won
-
61
1559
+26
20180622 Aachen 2018 semi-final
Andreas Braun
1550
1723
-173
27.0 %
28.6 %
+1.6 %
Lose
Lost
-
62
1533
-17
20180622 Aachen 2018 round of 8
Tilman Sinning
1517
1535
-18
47.4 %
62.5 %
+15.1 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
63
1550
+33
20180324 Dortmund 2018 final
Isabell Stroben
1558
1474
+84
61.9 %
16.7 %
-45.2 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
65
1517
-41
20180324 Dortmund 2018 semi-final
Sebastian Martini
1518
1594
-76
39.2 %
55.6 %
+16.3 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
66
1558
+40
20180324 Dortmund 2018 round of 8
Lars Lehmann
1487 P
1464
+23
53.3 %
55.6 %
+2.3 %
Win
Won
-
68
1518
+31
20180224 Tropical Islands 2018 round of 8
Luke Burrage
1496 P
1842
-346
12.0 %
16.7 %
+4.7 %
Lose
Lost
-
70
1487 P
-9
20180224 Tropical Islands 2018 round of 16
Tobias Horstmann
1454 P
1517
-63
41.0 %
60.0 %
+19.0 %
Lose
Won
Win
72
1496 P
+42
20180210 Ludwigshafen 2018 round of 8
Stephan Cipra
1500 P
1420
+80
61.3 %
0.0 %
-61.3 %
Win
Lost
Loss
74
1454 P
-46

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