Patrick Adderley

Profile image of Patrick Adderley
Full name: Patrick Adderley
Current rank: 32 since May 6, 2019
Highest Rank: 32 first reached May 6, 2019 (1 week in total)
2019 race rank: 8
2018: 64
Titles/finals: 0/1

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
20190425 Adelaide 2019 final
Byron Hutton
1537
1742
-205
23.5 %
12.5 %
-11.0 %
Lose
Lost
-
57
1523
-14
20190425 Adelaide 2019 semi-final
Simon Wright
1504
1556
-52
42.6 %
55.6 %
+13.0 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
58
1537
+33
20190425 Adelaide 2019 round of 8
Daniel Gunthorpe
1469
1537 P
-68
40.3 %
83.3 %
+43.0 %
Lose
Won
Win
60
1504
+35
20190203 New Zealand 2019 round of 16
Martin Gower
1503
1464 P
+39
55.6 %
44.4 %
-11.1 %
Win
Lost
Loss
61
1469
-34
20190126 Newcastle 2019 round of 8
Dillon Burchill
1538
1500 P
+38
55.4 %
44.4 %
-11.0 %
Win
Lost
Loss
62
1503
-35
20190109 Capital Fight Night 2019 third place match
Dimitri Yialeloglou
1510
1479 P
+31
54.4 %
83.3 %
+28.9 %
Win
Won
-
63
1538
+28
20190109 Capital Fight Night 2019 semi-final
Gavin Hillier
1546
1509 P
+37
55.3 %
16.7 %
-38.6 %
Win
Lost
Loss
65
1510
-36
20190109 Capital Fight Night 2019 round of 8
Chris Holton
1511 P
1537 P
-26
46.3 %
100.0 %
+53.7 %
Lose
Won
Win
66
1546
+35
20180927 Melbourne 2018 round of 8
Byron Hutton
1534 P
1658
-124
32.9 %
16.7 %
-16.2 %
Lose
Lost
-
68
1511 P
-23
20180217 New Zealand 2018 third place match
Martin Gower
1499 P
1499 P
0
50.0 %
55.6 %
+5.6 %
50/50
Won
-
70
1534 P
+35
20180217 New Zealand 2018 semi-final
Zach Washer
1533 P
1556
-23
46.7 %
16.7 %
-30.0 %
Lose
Lost
-
72
1499 P
-34
20180217 New Zealand 2018 round of 8
Aidan Crawley
1500 P
1469 P
+31
54.4 %
83.3 %
+28.9 %
Win
Won
-
74
1533 P
+33

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