Josh Nelson

Profile image of Josh Nelson
Full name: Josh Nelson
Current rank: =282 since Nov. 12, 2018
Highest Rank: 269 first reached Aug. 6, 2018 (1 week in total)
2018 race rank: 286
Titles/finals: 0/0

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
20180716 IJA 2018 round of 16
Garrett Borawski
1474 P
1463 P
+11
51.6 %
0.0 %
-51.6 %
Win
Lost
Loss
72
1436 P
-38
20180716 IJA 2018 round of 32
Noah Schmeissner
1500 P
1615
-115
34.0 %
0.0 %
-34.0 %
Lose
Lost
-
74
1474 P
-26

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