Marcello Carillo Matta

Profile image of Marcello Carillo Matta
Full name: Marcello Carillo Matta
Current rank: 33 since June 15, 2020
Highest Rank: 33 first reached June 15, 2020 (7 weeks in total)
2020 race rank: 2
Titles/finals: 1/1
Elo Rating: 1624 (provisional Elo)

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
20200103 TurboFest 2020 final
Rafi Benjamin
1578 P
1700
-122
33.1 %
71.4 %
+38.3 %
Lose
Won
Win
70
1624 P
+46
20200103 TurboFest 2020 semi-final
Louis Barbier
1540 P
1566 P
-26
46.3 %
100.0 %
+53.7 %
Lose
Won
Win
72
1578 P
+38
20200103 TurboFest 2020 round of 8
Austin Smith
1500 P
1530 P
-30
45.7 %
71.4 %
+25.7 %
Lose
Won
Win
74
1540 P
+40

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