Mark Pender-Bare

Profile image of Mark Pender-Bare
Full name: Mark Pender-Bare
Current rank: 50 since Sept. 10, 2018
Highest Rank: 41 first reached Nov. 28, 2016 (6 weeks in total)
2018 race rank: 60
2017: 58
2016: 49
2015: 98
2014: =196
Titles/finals: 0/0

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
20180803 EJC 2018 Azores round of 32
Jasper Moens
1306
1616
-310
14.4 %
0.0 %
-14.4 %
Lose
Lost
-
55
1298
-8
20180405 BJC 2018 Canterbury round of 16
Jon Peat
1312
1686
-374
10.4 %
28.6 %
+18.2 %
Lose
Lost
-
56
1306
-6
20171118 Leeds 2017 round of 8
Cameron Ford
1323
1590
-267
17.7 %
0.0 %
-17.7 %
Lose
Lost
-
57
1312
-11
20171007 Cambridge 2017 round of 8
Brook Roberts
1330
1692
-362
11.1 %
16.7 %
+5.6 %
Lose
Lost
-
58
1323
-7
20170429 Leicester 2017 round of 8
Ieuan Evans
1369
1274
+95
63.3 %
44.4 %
-18.9 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
60
1330
-39
20170225 Bath UpChuck 2017 round of 8
Janion Nevill
1391
1494 P
-103
35.6 %
37.5 %
+1.9 %
Lose
Lost
-
61
1369
-22
20161119 Leeds 2016 round of 8
Dan Wood
1403
1665
-262
18.1 %
16.7 %
-1.5 %
Lose
Lost
-
62
1391
-12
20161001 Cambridge 2016 round of 8
Matthew Greeny
1434
1443 P
-9
48.7 %
16.7 %
-32.0 %
Lose
Lost
-
63
1403
-31
20161001 Cambridge 2016 round of 16
Callum Lawrie
1398
1439
-41
44.1 %
80.0 %
+35.9 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
65
1434
+36
20160401 BJC 2016 Perth round of 16
Luke Burrage
1403
1854
-451
6.9 %
0.0 %
-6.9 %
Lose
Lost
-
66
1398
-5
20160220 Bath UpChuck 2016 round of 8
Janion Nevill
1431
1500 P
-69
40.2 %
37.5 %
-2.7 %
Lose
Lost
-
68
1403
-28
20160123 Chocfest 2016 round of 8
Jon Peat
1451 P
1617
-166
27.8 %
14.3 %
-13.5 %
Lose
Lost
-
70
1431
-20
20151121 Leeds 2015 round of 8
Brook Roberts
1467 P
1690
-223
21.7 %
16.7 %
-5.0 %
Lose
Lost
-
72
1451 P
-16
20150221 Bath UpChuck 2015 round of 8
Jon Peat
1500 P
1545
-45
43.6 %
14.3 %
-29.3 %
Lose
Lost
-
74
1467 P
-33

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