A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.
The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.
The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10
Click table headers to sort.
|Date||Tournament||Round||Opponent|| Elo Rating|
| Share of Points|
| Final Result|
|20181117||Leeds 2018||third place match||Phil Turner|
|20181117||Leeds 2018||semi-final||Felix Suerbe|
|20181117||Leeds 2018||round of 8||Nick Emmerson|
|20180803||EJC 2018 Azores||round of 32||Jasper Moens|
|20180405||BJC 2018 Canterbury||round of 16||Jon Peat|
|20171118||Leeds 2017||round of 8||Cameron Ford|
|20171007||Cambridge 2017||round of 8||Brook Roberts|
|20170429||Leicester 2017||round of 8||Ieuan Evans|
|20170225||Bath UpChuck 2017||round of 8||Janion Nevill|
|20161119||Leeds 2016||round of 8||Dan Wood|
|20161001||Cambridge 2016||round of 8||Matthew Greeny|
|20161001||Cambridge 2016||round of 16||Callum Lawrie|
|20160401||BJC 2016 Perth||round of 16||Luke Burrage|
|20160220||Bath UpChuck 2016||round of 8||Janion Nevill|
|20160123||Chocfest 2016||round of 8||Jon Peat|
|20151121||Leeds 2015||round of 8||Brook Roberts|
|20150221||Bath UpChuck 2015||round of 8||Jon Peat|
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