Austin Peter Hurley

Profile image of Austin Peter Hurley
Full name: Austin Peter Hurley
Current rank: 180 since April 9, 2018
Highest Rank: 168 first reached Dec. 4, 2017 (2 weeks in total)
2018 race rank: 71
2016 rank:
2015 rank:
2014 rank:
2013 rank:
Titles/finals: 0/0

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
20171111 Circus Festival Ireland 2017 third place match
Blake Bowers
1434
1409
+25
53.6 %
33.3 %
-20.3 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
66
1398
-36
20171111 Circus Festival Ireland 2017 semi-final
Matthew Sexton
1461
1537
-76
39.2 %
20.0 %
-19.2 %
Lose
Lost
-
68
1434
-27
20171111 Circus Festival Ireland 2017 round of 8
Des Johnston
1430 P
1399
+31
54.4 %
60.0 %
+5.6 %
Win
Won
-
70
1461
+31
20160527 Galway 2016 round of 16
Nate MacDonnell
1463 P
1500 P
-37
44.7 %
28.6 %
-16.1 %
Lose
Lost
-
72
1430 P
-33
20150529 Galway 2015 round of 16
Joe McGinley
1500 P
1500 P
0
50.0 %
50/50
Lost
-
74
1463 P
-37

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