Thomas Horner

Profile image of Thomas Horner
Full name: Thomas Horner
Current rank: =66 since July 24, 2017
Highest Rank: 63 first reached June 5, 2017 (2 weeks in total)
2017 race rank: 101
2016 rank: 77
Titles/finals: 0/1

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
20170602 Galway 2017 semi-final
Danny Cooper
1555
1641
-86
37.9 %
0.0 %
-37.9 %
Lose
Lost
-
65
1530
-25
20170602 Galway 2017 round of 8
Peter -Turf- Moran
1521 P
1541 P
-20
47.1 %
100.0 %
+52.9 %
Lose
Won
Win
66
1555
+34
20161008 Dublin Freshers 2016 final
Danny Cooper
1543 P
1681
-138
31.1 %
0.0 %
-31.1 %
Lose
Lost
-
68
1521 P
-22
20161008 Dublin Freshers 2016 semi-final
Des Johnston
1516 P
1444
+72
60.2 %
83.3 %
+23.1 %
Win
Won
-
70
1543 P
+27
20161008 Dublin Freshers 2016 round of 8
Stephen McGinley
1463 P
1653
-190
25.1 %
100.0 %
+74.9 %
Lose
Won
Win
72
1516 P
+53
20160213 Belfast 2016 round of 8
Edward Horner
1500 P
1500 P
0
50.0 %
16.7 %
-33.3 %
50/50
Lost
-
74
1463 P
-37

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