Jay Gilligan

Profile image of Jay Gilligan
Full name: Jay Gilligan
Current rank: - since Dec. 5, 2016
Highest Rank: 77 first reached Nov. 30, 2015 (4 weeks in total)
2016 rank:
2015 rank:
2014 rank:
2013 rank:
Titles/finals: 0/1

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
20151127 Sztukmistrze Lublin 2015 final
Jakub Szwed
1578 P
1620
-42
44.0 %
44.4 %
+0.5 %
Lose
Lost
-
70
1547
-31
20151127 Sztukmistrze Lublin 2015 semi-final
Marek -Markian- Żmuda
1539 P
1572
-33
45.3 %
55.6 %
+10.3 %
Lose
Won
Win
72
1578 P
+39
20151127 Sztukmistrze Lublin 2015 round of 8
Jerzy Kozłowski
1500 P
1525
-25
46.4 %
75.0 %
+28.6 %
Lose
Won
Win
74
1539 P
+39

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