Jay Gilligan

Profile image of Jay Gilligan
Full name: Jay Gilligan
Current rank: - since Dec. 26, 2016
Highest Rank: 77 first reached Nov. 30, 2015 (4 weeks in total)
2016 rank: 106
Titles/finals: 0/1

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
20151127 Sztukmistrze Lublin 2015 final
Jakub Szwed
1697
1619
+78
61.0 %
44.4 %
-16.6 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
62
1659
-38
20151127 Sztukmistrze Lublin 2015 semi-final
Marek -Markian- Żmuda
1675
1571
+104
64.5 %
55.6 %
-9.0 %
Win
Won
-
63
1697
+22
20151127 Sztukmistrze Lublin 2015 round of 8
Jerzy Kozłowski
1655 P
1525
+130
67.9 %
75.0 %
+7.1 %
Win
Won
-
65
1675
+20

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