Philip Nicolai

Profile image of Philip Nicolai
Full name: Philip Nicolai
Current rank: =163 since Nov. 5, 2018
Highest Rank: 17 first reached Jan. 7, 2013 (17 weeks in total)
2018 race rank: 162
2017: 172
2016: 146
2015: =174
2013: =50
Titles/finals: 0/0

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
20180908 Karlsruhe 2018 round of 8
Junis El-Sarout
1307
1547
-240
20.1 %
37.5 %
+17.4 %
Lose
Lost
-
63
1294
-13
20180224 Tropical Islands 2018 round of 8
Stephan Cipra
1329
1446
-117
33.8 %
16.7 %
-17.1 %
Lose
Lost
-
65
1307
-22
20170623 Freiburg 2017 round of 8
Stephan Cipra
1361
1373
-12
48.3 %
37.5 %
-10.8 %
Lose
Lost
-
66
1329
-32
20160909 Karlsruhe 2016 round of 16
Tilman Sinning
1396
1395
+1
50.1 %
28.6 %
-21.6 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
68
1361
-35
20160213 Havixbeck 2016 round of 8
Luca Pferdmenges
1438
1376
+62
58.8 %
25.0 %
-33.8 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
70
1396
-42
20150331 BJC 2015 Darton round of 16
Brook Roberts
1459 P
1622
-163
28.1 %
0.0 %
-28.1 %
Lose
Lost
-
72
1438
-21
20131122 Nuernberg 2013 round of 8
Daniel Ledel
1500 P
1463 P
+37
55.3 %
25.0 %
-30.3 %
Win
Lost
Loss
74
1459 P
-41

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