Luis Murillo

Profile image of Luis Murillo
Full name: Luis Murillo
Current rank: =143 since
Highest Rank: 119 on 20160620 for weeks
Finals/titles: 0/0

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
20160619 Manizales 2016 third place match
Alex Ortega
1501 P
1503 P
-2
49.7 %
16.7 %
-33.0 %
Lose
Lost
-
70
1466 P
-35
20160619 Manizales 2016 semi-final
Lino Cardona
1537 P
1537 P
0
50.0 %
44.4 %
-5.6 %
50/50
Lost
-
72
1501 P
-36
20160619 Manizales 2016 round of 8
Alejo Marin
1500 P
1500 P
0
50.0 %
71.4 %
+21.4 %
50/50
Won
-
74
1537 P
+37

© Copyright 2017, Luke Burrage. All rights reserved.