Lukas Vogt

Profile image of Lukas Vogt
Full name: Lukas Vogt
Current rank: - since Sept. 4, 2017
Highest Rank: 241 first reached Nov. 21, 2016 (5 weeks in total)
2016 rank: 239
Titles/finals: 0/0

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
20160827 Phoenix Fire Convention 2016 round of 8
Martin Schwalenberg
1500 P
1584
-84
38.1 %
0.0 %
-38.1 %
Lose
Lost
-
74
1471 P
-29

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