Julian Orbach

Profile image of Julian Orbach
Full name: Julian Orbach
Current rank: 134 since July 15, 2019
Highest Rank: 130 first reached July 1, 2019 (1 week in total)
2019 race rank: 124
2018: =338
2017: =335
Titles/finals: 0/0

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
20190615 Capital World Juggling Day 2019 round of 8
Simon Wright
1502 P
1552
-50
42.9 %
37.5 %
-5.4 %
Lose
Lost
-
70
1472 P
-30
20190615 Capital World Juggling Day 2019 round of 16
Sam Williams
1463 P
1493 P
-30
45.7 %
83.3 %
+37.6 %
Lose
Won
Win
72
1502 P
+39
20190425 Adelaide 2019 round of 16
Daniel Gunthorpe
1500 P
1500 P
0
50.0 %
28.6 %
-21.4 %
50/50
Lost
-
74
1463 P
-37

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