Mark Williams

Profile image of Mark Williams
Full name: Mark Williams
Current rank: =104 since Oct. 16, 2017
Highest Rank: 95 first reached July 31, 2017 (3 weeks in total)
2017 race rank: 103
Titles/finals: 0/0

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
20170304 New Zealand 2017 third place match
Joe Fisher
1521 P
1560 P
-39
44.4 %
28.6 %
-15.8 %
Lose
Lost
-
70
1489 P
-32
20170304 New Zealand 2017 semi-final
Julius Preu
1537 P
1755
-218
22.2 %
16.7 %
-5.5 %
Lose
Lost
-
72
1521 P
-16
20170304 New Zealand 2017 round of 8
Kyle Johnson
1500 P
1500 P
0
50.0 %
71.4 %
+21.4 %
50/50
Won
-
74
1537 P
+37

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