Ben Horgan

Profile image of Ben Horgan
Full name: Ben Horgan
Current rank: =171 since
Highest Rank: 31 on 20150202 for weeks
Finals/titles: 0/0

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
20160506 NJF 2016 round of 16
Markus Utke
1390
1628
-238
20.3 %
0.0 %
-20.3 %
Lose
Lost
-
62
1377
-13
20160123 Chocfest 2016 third place match
Dan Wood
1402
1656
-254
18.8 %
14.3 %
-4.5 %
Lose
Lost
-
63
1390
-12
20160123 Chocfest 2016 semi-final
Brook Roberts
1415
1673
-258
18.5 %
40.0 %
+21.5 %
Lose
Lost
-
65
1402
-13
20160123 Chocfest 2016 round of 8
Callum Lawrie
1374
1463 P
-89
37.5 %
66.7 %
+29.2 %
Lose
Won
Win
66
1415
+41
20150131 Chocfest 2015 round of 8
Josh Turner
1401 P
1482 P
-81
38.5 %
0.0 %
-38.5 %
Lose
Lost
-
68
1374
-27
20140926 J-Fest 2014 round of 8
Fedi To
1429 P
1500 P
-71
39.9 %
0.0 %
-39.9 %
Lose
Lost
-
70
1401 P
-28
20140531 NJF 2014 round of 16
Rob van Heijst
1466 P
1463 P
+3
50.4 %
25.0 %
-25.4 %
Win
Lost
Loss
72
1429 P
-37
20140412 BJC 2014 Darton round of 16
Jon Peat
1500 P
1534 P
-34
45.1 %
25.0 %
-20.1 %
Lose
Lost
-
74
1466 P
-34

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