Fight Night Combat - Krzysztof Kostera

Krzysztof Kostera

Full name:	Krzysztof Kostera
Current rank:	24	since Sept. 16, 2019
Highest Rank:	23	first reached Sept. 2, 2019 (2 weeks in total)
2019 race rank:	16
2017:	=268
Titles/finals:	1/1

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Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date	Tournament	Round	Opponent	Elo Rating Player	Opponent	Difference	Share of Points Predicted	Actual	Difference	Final Result Predicted	Actual	Difference	K-Factor	Next Elo	Change
20190824	Ostroda 2019	final	Jakub Czekała	1616	1647	-31	45.6 %	100.0 %	+54.4 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	57	1647	+31
20190824	Ostroda 2019	semi-final	Grzegorz Jastrzębski	1600	1433	+167	72.3 %	83.3 %	+11.0 %	Win	Won	-	58	1616	+16
20190824	Ostroda 2019	round of 8	Wiktor Scieszyński	1577	1500 P	+77	60.9 %	100.0 %	+39.1 %	Win	Won	-	60	1600	+23
20190808	EJC 2019 Newark	round of 16	Leo Ostenrath	1591	1814	-223	21.7 %	37.5 %	+15.8 %	Lose	Lost	-	61	1577	-14
20190808	EJC 2019 Newark	round of 32	Simon À Campo	1562	1547	+15	52.2 %	100.0 %	+47.8 %	Win	Won	-	62	1591	+29
20190523	Lublin 2019	third place match	Jakub Szwed	1517	1685	-168	27.5 %	62.5 %	+35.0 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	63	1562	+45
20190523	Lublin 2019	semi-final	Jakub Czekała	1544	1612	-68	40.3 %	28.6 %	-11.8 %	Lose	Lost	-	65	1517	-27
20190523	Lublin 2019	round of 8	Grzegorz Jastrzębski	1520 P	1425 P	+95	63.3 %	83.3 %	+20.0 %	Win	Won	-	66	1544	+24
20190126	Ostroda Winter 2019	third place match	Krzysztof Czarski	1489 P	1463	+26	53.7 %	55.6 %	+1.8 %	Win	Won	-	68	1520 P	+31
20190126	Ostroda Winter 2019	semi-final	Michał Kozak	1507 P	1703	-196	24.4 %	37.5 %	+13.1 %	Lose	Lost	-	70	1489 P	-18
20190126	Ostroda Winter 2019	round of 8	Grzegorz Jastrzębski	1473 P	1460 P	+13	51.9 %	71.4 %	+19.6 %	Win	Won	-	72	1507 P	+34
20170817	Ostroda 2017	round of 8	Artur Perskawiec	1500 P	1604	-104	35.5 %	28.6 %	-6.9 %	Lose	Lost	-	74	1473 P	-27