Chris Kelly

Profile image of Chris Kelly
Full name: Chris Kelly
Current rank: =539 since Nov. 5, 2018
Highest Rank: 172 first reached Nov. 21, 2016 (5 weeks in total)
2018 race rank: 534
2017: =385
2016: =215
2015: =353
Titles/finals: 0/0

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
20161008 Dublin Freshers 2016 round of 8
Oisin Carroll
1463 P
1606 P
-143
30.5 %
25.0 %
-5.5 %
Lose
Lost
-
72
1441 P
-22
20151114 Circus Festival Ireland 2015 round of 8
Brian O'Connell
1500 P
1505 P
-5
49.3 %
Lose
Lost
-
74
1463 P
-37

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