Laurence Menz

Profile image of Laurence Menz
Full name: Laurence Menz
Current rank: 108 since Sept. 16, 2019
Highest Rank: 103 first reached Sept. 2, 2019 (2 weeks in total)
2019 race rank: 98
Titles/finals: 0/0

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
20190615 Capital World Juggling Day 2019 round of 8
Adrian Goldwaser
1556 P
1575
-19
47.3 %
0.0 %
-47.3 %
Lose
Lost
-
66
1524 P
-32
20190615 Capital World Juggling Day 2019 round of 16
Rachael Blemings
1531 P
1445 P
+86
62.1 %
83.3 %
+21.2 %
Win
Won
-
68
1556 P
+25
20190422 National Folk Festival 2019 third place match
Rachael Blemings
1499 P
1477 P
+22
53.2 %
71.4 %
+18.3 %
Win
Won
-
70
1531 P
+32
20190422 National Folk Festival 2019 semi-final
Jano Ċ imko
1536 P
1533 P
+3
50.4 %
28.6 %
-21.9 %
Win
Lost
Loss
72
1499 P
-37
20190422 National Folk Festival 2019 round of 8
Chris Holton
1500 P
1498 P
+2
50.3 %
71.4 %
+21.1 %
Win
Won
-
74
1536 P
+36

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