Fight Night Combat - Adrian Goldwaser

Adrian Goldwaser

Full name:	Adrian Goldwaser
Current rank:	39	since July 15, 2019
Highest Rank:	27	first reached Jan. 22, 2018 (1 week in total)
2019 race rank:	38
2018:	37
2017:	63
2016:	161
2014:	=215
Titles/finals:	1/3

Profile Tournaments Matches Rankings Rivalries

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date	Tournament	Round	Opponent	Elo Rating Player	Opponent	Difference	Share of Points Predicted	Actual	Difference	Final Result Predicted	Actual	Difference	K-Factor	Next Elo	Change
20190615	Capital World Juggling Day 2019	third place match	Gavin Hillier	1575	1634	-59	41.6 %	62.5 %	+20.9 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	52	1605	+30
20190615	Capital World Juggling Day 2019	semi-final	Richard Sullivan	1600	1629 P	-29	45.8 %	44.4 %	-1.4 %	Lose	Lost	-	53	1575	-25
20190615	Capital World Juggling Day 2019	round of 8	Laurence Menz	1575	1556 P	+19	52.7 %	100.0 %	+47.3 %	Win	Won	-	54	1600	+25
20190126	Newcastle 2019	final	David Halliwell	1606	1564 P	+42	56.0 %	30.0 %	-26.0 %	Win	Lost	Loss	55	1575	-31
20190126	Newcastle 2019	semi-final	Dillon Burchill	1582	1541 P	+41	55.9 %	55.6 %	-0.3 %	Win	Won	-	55	1606	+24
20190126	Newcastle 2019	round of 8	Cyril Tang	1559	1500 P	+59	58.4 %	83.3 %	+24.9 %	Win	Won	-	56	1582	+23
20180927	Melbourne 2018	third place match	Degge Jarvie	1586	1608 P	-22	46.8 %	16.7 %	-30.2 %	Lose	Lost	-	57	1559	-27
20180927	Melbourne 2018	semi-final	Zane Jarvie	1620	1563 P	+57	58.1 %	28.6 %	-29.6 %	Win	Lost	Loss	58	1586	-34
20180927	Melbourne 2018	round of 8	Dimitri Yialeloglou	1599	1500 P	+99	63.9 %	83.3 %	+19.5 %	Win	Won	-	60	1620	+21
20180120	Chocfest 2018	final	Josh Turner	1577	1487	+90	62.7 %	55.6 %	-7.1 %	Win	Won	-	61	1599	+22
20180120	Chocfest 2018	semi-final	Kilian Maidhof	1553	1481	+72	60.2 %	71.4 %	+11.2 %	Win	Won	-	62	1577	+24
20180120	Chocfest 2018	round of 8	Nick Emmerson	1526	1480 P	+46	56.6 %	83.3 %	+26.8 %	Win	Won	-	63	1553	+27
20170923	Melbourne 2017	final	Degge Jarvie	1558 P	1570 P	-12	48.3 %	28.6 %	-19.7 %	Lose	Lost	-	65	1526	-32
20170923	Melbourne 2017	semi-final	Zane Jarvie	1524 P	1537 P	-13	48.1 %	62.5 %	+14.4 %	Lose	Won	Win	66	1558 P	+34
20170923	Melbourne 2017	round of 8	Mark Douglass	1490 P	1500 P	-10	48.6 %	62.5 %	+13.9 %	Lose	Won	Win	68	1524 P	+34
20170128	Newcastle 2017	third place match	Byron Hutton	1518 P	1597	-79	38.8 %	28.6 %	-10.3 %	Lose	Lost	-	70	1490 P	-28
20170128	Newcastle 2017	semi-final	Julius Preu	1537 P	1727	-190	25.1 %	0.0 %	-25.1 %	Lose	Lost	-	72	1518 P	-19
20170128	Newcastle 2017	round of 8	Lachlan Dickson	1500 P	1500 P	0	50.0 %	100.0 %	+50.0 %	50/50	Won	-	74	1537 P	+37