Adrian Goldwaser

Profile image of Adrian Goldwaser
Full name: Adrian Goldwaser
Current rank: 40 since Oct. 14, 2019
Highest Rank: 27 first reached Jan. 22, 2018 (1 week in total)
2019 race rank: 38
2018: 37
2017: 63
2016: 161
2014: =215
Titles/finals: 1/3

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
20190926 Melbourne 2019 third place match
Gavin Hillier
1613
1596
+17
52.4 %
62.5 %
+10.1 %
Win
Won
-
50
1636
+23
20190926 Melbourne 2019 semi-final
Byron Hutton
1630
1761
-131
32.0 %
37.5 %
+5.5 %
Lose
Lost
-
51
1613
-17
20190926 Melbourne 2019 round of 8
Simon Wright
1605
1608
-3
49.6 %
83.3 %
+33.8 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
51
1630
+25
20190615 Capital World Juggling Day 2019 third place match
Gavin Hillier
1575
1634
-59
41.6 %
62.5 %
+20.9 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
52
1605
+30
20190615 Capital World Juggling Day 2019 semi-final
Richard Sullivan
1600
1629 P
-29
45.8 %
44.4 %
-1.4 %
Lose
Lost
-
53
1575
-25
20190615 Capital World Juggling Day 2019 round of 8
Laurence Menz
1575
1556 P
+19
52.7 %
100.0 %
+47.3 %
Win
Won
-
54
1600
+25
20190126 Newcastle 2019 final
David Halliwell
1606
1564 P
+42
56.0 %
30.0 %
-26.0 %
Win
Lost
Loss
55
1575
-31
20190126 Newcastle 2019 semi-final
Dillon Burchill
1582
1541 P
+41
55.9 %
55.6 %
-0.3 %
Win
Won
-
55
1606
+24
20190126 Newcastle 2019 round of 8
Cyril Tang
1559
1500 P
+59
58.4 %
83.3 %
+24.9 %
Win
Won
-
56
1582
+23
20180927 Melbourne 2018 third place match
Degge Jarvie
1586
1608 P
-22
46.8 %
16.7 %
-30.2 %
Lose
Lost
-
57
1559
-27
20180927 Melbourne 2018 semi-final
Zane Jarvie
1620
1563 P
+57
58.1 %
28.6 %
-29.6 %
Win
Lost
Loss
58
1586
-34
20180927 Melbourne 2018 round of 8
Dimitri Yialeloglou
1599
1500 P
+99
63.9 %
83.3 %
+19.5 %
Win
Won
-
60
1620
+21
20180120 Chocfest 2018 final
Josh Turner
1577
1487
+90
62.7 %
55.6 %
-7.1 %
Win
Won
-
61
1599
+22
20180120 Chocfest 2018 semi-final
Kilian Maidhof
1553
1481
+72
60.2 %
71.4 %
+11.2 %
Win
Won
-
62
1577
+24
20180120 Chocfest 2018 round of 8
Nick Emmerson
1526
1480 P
+46
56.6 %
83.3 %
+26.8 %
Win
Won
-
63
1553
+27
20170923 Melbourne 2017 final
Degge Jarvie
1558 P
1570 P
-12
48.3 %
28.6 %
-19.7 %
Lose
Lost
-
65
1526
-32
20170923 Melbourne 2017 semi-final
Zane Jarvie
1524 P
1537 P
-13
48.1 %
62.5 %
+14.4 %
Lose
Won
Win
66
1558 P
+34
20170923 Melbourne 2017 round of 8
Mark Douglass
1490 P
1500 P
-10
48.6 %
62.5 %
+13.9 %
Lose
Won
Win
68
1524 P
+34
20170128 Newcastle 2017 third place match
Byron Hutton
1518 P
1597
-79
38.8 %
28.6 %
-10.3 %
Lose
Lost
-
70
1490 P
-28
20170128 Newcastle 2017 semi-final
Julius Preu
1537 P
1727
-190
25.1 %
0.0 %
-25.1 %
Lose
Lost
-
72
1518 P
-19
20170128 Newcastle 2017 round of 8
Lachlan Dickson
1500 P
1500 P
0
50.0 %
100.0 %
+50.0 %
50/50
Won
-
74
1537 P
+37

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