Gavin Hillier

Profile image of Gavin Hillier
Full name: Gavin Hillier
Current rank: 18 since July 8, 2019
Highest Rank: 17 first reached June 17, 2019 (3 weeks in total)
2019 race rank: 9
2018: =199
Titles/finals: 2/2

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
20190615 Capital World Juggling Day 2019 third place match
Adrian Goldwaser
1634
1575
+59
58.4 %
37.5 %
-20.9 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
60
1598
-36
20190615 Capital World Juggling Day 2019 semi-final
Simon Wright
1673
1575
+98
63.7 %
37.5 %
-26.2 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
61
1634
-39
20190615 Capital World Juggling Day 2019 round of 8
Jack Bell
1654
1522 P
+132
68.1 %
100.0 %
+31.9 %
Win
Won
-
62
1673
+19
20190422 National Folk Festival 2019 final
Jano Ċ imko
1628
1569 P
+59
58.4 %
100.0 %
+41.6 %
Win
Won
-
63
1654
+26
20190422 National Folk Festival 2019 semi-final
Rachael Blemings
1605
1502 P
+103
64.4 %
100.0 %
+35.6 %
Win
Won
-
65
1628
+23
20190422 National Folk Festival 2019 round of 8
Brett Hoppenbrouwer
1580 P
1500 P
+80
61.3 %
100.0 %
+38.7 %
Win
Won
-
66
1605
+25
20190109 Capital Fight Night 2019 final
Simon Wright
1547 P
1539 P
+8
51.2 %
83.3 %
+32.2 %
Win
Won
-
68
1580 P
+33
20190109 Capital Fight Night 2019 semi-final
Patrick Adderley
1509 P
1546
-37
44.7 %
83.3 %
+38.6 %
Lose
Won
Win
70
1547 P
+38
20190109 Capital Fight Night 2019 round of 8
Darcy Wiseman
1466 P
1537 P
-71
39.9 %
100.0 %
+60.1 %
Lose
Won
Win
72
1509 P
+43
20180927 Melbourne 2018 round of 8
Zane Jarvie
1500 P
1533 P
-33
45.3 %
37.5 %
-7.8 %
Lose
Lost
-
74
1466 P
-34

© Copyright 2018, Luke Burrage. All rights reserved.