Luke Burrage

Profile image of Luke Burrage
Full name: Luke Burrage
Current rank: 2 since April 17, 2017
Highest Rank: 1 first reached May 13, 2013 (92 weeks in total)
2017 race rank: 3
2016 rank: 1
2015 rank: 1
2014 rank: 3
2013 rank: 2
Titles/finals: 16/28

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
20170726 EJC 2017 Lublin round of 32
Sebastian Martini
1885
1460
+425
92.0 %
28.6 %
-63.5 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
22
1864
-21
20170719 Katapult 2017 final
Jochen Pfeiffer
1892
2049
-157
28.8 %
0.0 %
-28.8 %
Lose
Lost
-
22
1885
-7
20170719 Katapult 2017 semi-final
Eóin Allan
1883
1831
+52
57.4 %
62.5 %
+5.1 %
Win
Won
-
22
1892
+9
20170719 Katapult 2017 round of 8
Florian Marienfeld
1879
1656
+223
78.3 %
83.3 %
+5.0 %
Win
Won
-
22
1883
+4
20170719 Katapult 2017 round of 8
Niklas Aumüller
1878
1457
+421
91.9 %
71.4 %
-20.4 %
Win
Won
-
22
1879
+1
20170611 Rastelli Festival 2017 final
Camilo Jimenez
1875
1573 P
+302
85.0 %
62.5 %
-22.5 %
Win
Won
-
22
1878
+3
20170611 Rastelli Festival 2017 semi-final
Gioele Codara
1873
1537 P
+336
87.4 %
71.4 %
-15.9 %
Win
Won
-
23
1875
+2
20170611 Rastelli Festival 2017 round of 8
Francesco Boccardo
1871
1500 P
+371
89.4 %
100.0 %
+10.6 %
Win
Won
-
23
1873
+2
20170527 NJF 2017 final
Leo Ostenrath
1864
1750
+114
65.8 %
71.4 %
+5.6 %
Win
Won
-
23
1871
+7
20170527 NJF 2017 semi-final
Simon À Campo
1862
1530
+332
87.1 %
100.0 %
+12.9 %
Win
Won
-
23
1864
+2
20170527 NJF 2017 round of 8
Bas Van de Kerkhof
1860
1478
+382
90.0 %
100.0 %
+10.0 %
Win
Won
-
23
1862
+2
20170506 Hannover 2017 round of 8
Alexander Müller
1877
1699
+178
73.6 %
16.7 %
-56.9 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
23
1860
-17
20170218 Tropical Islands 2017 final
Martin Schwalenberg
1873
1630
+243
80.2 %
55.6 %
-24.6 %
Win
Won
-
23
1877
+4
20170218 Tropical Islands 2017 semi-final
Alex Leymann
1870
1576
+294
84.5 %
83.3 %
-1.1 %
Win
Won
-
23
1873
+3
20170218 Tropical Islands 2017 round of 8
Christian Menzel
1868
1500 P
+368
89.3 %
100.0 %
+10.7 %
Win
Won
-
23
1870
+2
20161126 European Masters 2016 final
Jochen Pfeiffer
1875
2022
-147
30.0 %
18.2 %
-11.8 %
Lose
Lost
-
23
1868
-7
20161126 European Masters 2016 semi-final
Markus Utke
1868
1730
+138
68.9 %
75.0 %
+6.1 %
Win
Won
-
23
1875
+7
20161126 European Masters 2016 round of 8
Jon Peat
1862
1690
+172
72.9 %
66.7 %
-6.2 %
Win
Won
-
24
1868
+6
20161126 European Masters 2016 round-robin
Brook Roberts
1855
1723
+132
68.1 %
60.0 %
-8.1 %
Win
Won
-
24
1862
+7
20161126 European Masters 2016 round-robin
Markus Utke
1848
1722
+126
67.4 %
54.5 %
-12.8 %
Win
Won
-
24
1855
+7
20161126 European Masters 2016 round-robin
Leo Ostenrath
1842
1684
+158
71.3 %
60.0 %
-11.3 %
Win
Won
-
24
1848
+6
20161126 European Masters 2016 round-robin
Jan Poolen
1838
1574
+264
82.0 %
85.7 %
+3.7 %
Win
Won
-
24
1842
+4
20161015 Durham 2016 final
Brook Roberts
1855
1715
+140
69.1 %
16.7 %
-52.5 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
24
1838
-17
20161015 Durham 2016 semi-final
Jon Peat
1847
1730
+117
66.2 %
62.5 %
-3.7 %
Win
Won
-
24
1855
+8
20161015 Durham 2016 round of 8
Mike Armstrong
1845
1500 P
+345
87.9 %
83.3 %
-4.6 %
Win
Won
-
24
1847
+2
20160804 EJC 2016 Almere final
Jochen Pfeiffer
1853
1984
-131
32.0 %
44.4 %
+12.5 %
Lose
Lost
-
24
1845
-8
20160804 EJC 2016 Almere semi-final
Florian Marienfeld
1848
1643
+205
76.5 %
71.4 %
-5.1 %
Win
Won
-
24
1853
+5
20160804 EJC 2016 Almere round of 8
Danny Cooper
1842
1649
+193
75.2 %
100.0 %
+24.8 %
Win
Won
-
25
1848
+6
20160804 EJC 2016 Almere round of 16
Lauge Benjaminsen
1839
1526
+313
85.8 %
83.3 %
-2.5 %
Win
Won
-
25
1842
+3
20160804 EJC 2016 Almere round of 32
Michael Masson
1837
1455 P
+382
90.0 %
83.3 %
-6.7 %
Win
Won
-
25
1839
+2
20160604 Berlin 2016 third place match
Markus Utke
1857
1645
+212
77.2 %
44.4 %
-32.8 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
25
1837
-20
20160604 Berlin 2016 semi-final
Jochen Pfeiffer
1867
1950
-83
38.3 %
44.4 %
+6.2 %
Lose
Lost
-
25
1857
-10
20160604 Berlin 2016 round of 8
Alexander Müller
1860
1703
+157
71.2 %
71.4 %
+0.3 %
Win
Won
-
25
1867
+7
20160525 Bungay 2016 final
Brook Roberts
1851
1752
+99
63.9 %
55.6 %
-8.3 %
Win
Won
-
25
1860
+9
20160525 Bungay 2016 semi-final
Rob Woolley
1848
1509
+339
87.6 %
100.0 %
+12.4 %
Win
Won
-
25
1851
+3
20160525 Bungay 2016 round of 8
Charlie Hull
1845
1500 P
+345
87.9 %
71.4 %
-16.5 %
Win
Won
-
25
1848
+3
20160506 NJF 2016 third place match
Fabio Zimmermann
1842
1515
+327
86.8 %
62.5 %
-24.3 %
Win
Won
-
26
1845
+3
20160506 NJF 2016 semi-final
Rob van Heijst
1865
1530
+335
87.3 %
44.4 %
-42.9 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
26
1842
-23
20160506 NJF 2016 round of 8
Sander Vanpraet
1863
1506
+357
88.6 %
83.3 %
-5.3 %
Win
Won
-
26
1865
+2
20160429 Brianza 2016 final
Remi De Vos
1860
1533
+327
86.8 %
83.3 %
-3.5 %
Win
Won
-
26
1863
+3
20160429 Brianza 2016 semi-final
Jochen Hänsel
1858
1461
+397
90.8 %
55.6 %
-35.2 %
Win
Won
-
26
1860
+2
20160429 Brianza 2016 round of 8
Erik Medina
1856
1500 P
+356
88.6 %
83.3 %
-5.3 %
Win
Won
-
26
1858
+2
20160401 BJC 2016 Perth final
Brook Roberts
1848
1721
+127
67.5 %
55.6 %
-11.9 %
Win
Won
-
26
1856
+8
20160401 BJC 2016 Perth semi-final
Jon Peat
1842
1657
+185
74.4 %
71.4 %
-2.9 %
Win
Won
-
26
1848
+6
20160401 BJC 2016 Perth round of 8
Cameron Ford
1839
1532
+307
85.4 %
100.0 %
+14.6 %
Win
Won
-
26
1842
+3
20160401 BJC 2016 Perth round of 16
Mark Pender-Bare
1837
1402
+435
92.4 %
100.0 %
+7.6 %
Win
Won
-
27
1839
+2
20151205 European Masters 2015 third place match
Florian Marienfeld
1832
1606
+226
78.6 %
75.0 %
-3.6 %
Win
Won
-
27
1837
+5
20151205 European Masters 2015 semi-final
Eóin Allan
1848
1789
+59
58.4 %
25.0 %
-33.4 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
27
1832
-16
20151205 European Masters 2015 round of 8
Brook Roberts
1841
1673
+168
72.5 %
53.8 %
-18.6 %
Win
Won
-
27
1848
+7
20151205 European Masters 2015 round-robin
Jon Peat
1835
1651
+184
74.3 %
60.0 %
-14.3 %
Win
Won
-
27
1841
+6
20151205 European Masters 2015 round-robin
Alex Leymann
1831
1569
+262
81.9 %
100.0 %
+18.1 %
Win
Won
-
27
1835
+4
20151205 European Masters 2015 round-robin
Alexander Müller
1851
1679
+172
72.9 %
33.3 %
-39.6 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
27
1831
-20
20151205 European Masters 2015 round-robin
Jochen Hänsel
1850
1400
+450
93.0 %
100.0 %
+7.0 %
Win
Won
-
28
1851
+1
20151106 Cottbus 2015 final
Florian Marienfeld
1844
1643
+201
76.1 %
71.4 %
-4.7 %
Win
Won
-
28
1850
+6
20151106 Cottbus 2015 semi-final
Rufus Oelkers
1840
1539
+301
85.0 %
83.3 %
-1.6 %
Win
Won
-
28
1844
+4
20151106 Cottbus 2015 round of 8
Tobias Bruns
1838
1462 P
+376
89.7 %
100.0 %
+10.3 %
Win
Won
-
28
1840
+2
20151023 Hamburg 2015 final
Jochen Pfeiffer
1849
1937
-88
37.6 %
0.0 %
-37.6 %
Lose
Lost
-
28
1838
-11
20151023 Hamburg 2015 semi-final
Alexander Müller
1840
1711
+129
67.8 %
71.4 %
+3.7 %
Win
Won
-
28
1849
+9
20151023 Hamburg 2015 round of 8
Andreas Braun
1833
1653
+180
73.8 %
83.3 %
+9.5 %
Win
Won
-
28
1840
+7
20150805 EJC 2015 Bruneck final
Eóin Allan
1855
1682
+173
73.0 %
0.0 %
-73.0 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
29
1833
-22
20150805 EJC 2015 Bruneck semi-final
Dave Leahy
1846
1718
+128
67.6 %
100.0 %
+32.4 %
Win
Won
-
29
1855
+9
20150805 EJC 2015 Bruneck round of 8
Till Rautert
1844
1467
+377
89.8 %
55.6 %
-34.2 %
Win
Won
-
29
1846
+2
20150805 EJC 2015 Bruneck round of 16
Jan Poolen
1843
1388
+455
93.2 %
71.4 %
-21.8 %
Win
Won
-
29
1844
+1
20150612 Hungary 2015 final
István Hornyák
1837
1635
+202
76.2 %
71.4 %
-4.8 %
Win
Won
-
29
1843
+6
20150612 Hungary 2015 semi-final
Marcin Kościelny
1834
1502 P
+332
87.1 %
71.4 %
-15.7 %
Win
Won
-
29
1837
+3
20150612 Hungary 2015 round of 8
László Gyimóthi
1831
1500 P
+331
87.1 %
75.0 %
-12.1 %
Win
Won
-
29
1834
+3
20150606 Berlin 2015 final
Jochen Pfeiffer
1842
1950
-108
34.9 %
44.4 %
+9.5 %
Lose
Lost
-
30
1831
-11
20150606 Berlin 2015 semi-final
Markus Utke
1837
1591
+246
80.5 %
55.6 %
-24.9 %
Win
Won
-
30
1842
+5
20150606 Berlin 2015 round of 8
Oliver Rudolph
1834
1470
+364
89.0 %
83.3 %
-5.7 %
Win
Won
-
30
1837
+3
20150516 NJF 2015 final
Jochen Pfeiffer
1813
1969
-156
28.9 %
55.6 %
+26.6 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
30
1834
+21
20150516 NJF 2015 semi-final
Tony Pezzo
1806
1613 P
+193
75.2 %
55.6 %
-19.7 %
Win
Won
-
30
1813
+7
20150516 NJF 2015 round of 8
Simon À Campo
1802
1507
+295
84.5 %
83.3 %
-1.2 %
Win
Won
-
30
1806
+4
20150516 NJF 2015 round of 16
Jon Peat
1793
1655
+138
68.9 %
83.3 %
+14.5 %
Win
Won
-
31
1802
+9
20150502 Brianza 2015 final
Jochen Pfeiffer
1803
1950
-147
30.0 %
16.7 %
-13.4 %
Lose
Lost
-
31
1793
-10
20150502 Brianza 2015 semi-final
Ian Deady
1798
1541
+257
81.4 %
83.3 %
+1.9 %
Win
Won
-
31
1803
+5
20150502 Brianza 2015 round of 8
Davide Trombi
1794
1500 P
+294
84.5 %
83.3 %
-1.1 %
Win
Won
-
31
1798
+4
20150214 Tropical Islands 2015 final
Jochen Hänsel
1791
1418
+373
89.5 %
55.6 %
-34.0 %
Win
Won
-
31
1794
+3
20150214 Tropical Islands 2015 semi-final
Enrico Lohmann
1785
1537 P
+248
80.7 %
83.3 %
+2.7 %
Win
Won
-
32
1791
+6
20150214 Tropical Islands 2015 round of 8
Josef Stiller
1781
1471
+310
85.6 %
100.0 %
+14.4 %
Win
Won
-
32
1785
+4
20150104 Juggling On Ice 2015 final
Tony Pezzo
1774
1570 P
+204
76.4 %
53.8 %
-22.5 %
Win
Won
-
32
1781
+7
20150104 Juggling On Ice 2015 semi-final
Asaf More
1767
1569 P
+198
75.8 %
83.3 %
+7.6 %
Win
Won
-
32
1774
+7
20150104 Juggling On Ice 2015 round of 8
Bernhard Zandl
1761
1537 P
+224
78.4 %
100.0 %
+21.6 %
Win
Won
-
32
1767
+6
20141031 Halle 2014 final
Fabio Zimmermann
1754
1545
+209
76.9 %
62.5 %
-14.4 %
Win
Won
-
33
1761
+7
20141031 Halle 2014 semi-final
Markus Utke
1747
1538
+209
76.9 %
57.1 %
-19.8 %
Win
Won
-
33
1754
+7
20141031 Halle 2014 round of 8
Stephan Cipra
1741
1500 P
+241
80.0 %
75.0 %
-5.0 %
Win
Won
-
33
1747
+6
20141022 Lima 2014 final
Johan Flores
1732
1573 P
+159
71.4 %
55.6 %
-15.9 %
Win
Won
-
33
1741
+9
20141022 Lima 2014 semi-final
Jonathan Sajoux
1724
1537 P
+187
74.6 %
60.0 %
-14.6 %
Win
Won
-
33
1732
+8
20141022 Lima 2014 round of 8
Bramco Ballarte
1717
1500 P
+217
77.7 %
100.0 %
+22.3 %
Win
Won
-
34
1724
+7
20141017 Hamburg 2014 final
Jochen Pfeiffer
1725
1939
-214
22.6 %
37.5 %
+14.9 %
Lose
Lost
-
34
1717
-8
20141017 Hamburg 2014 semi-final
Alexander Müller
1711
1659
+52
57.4 %
83.3 %
+25.9 %
Win
Won
-
34
1725
+14
20141017 Hamburg 2014 round of 8
Stefan Braun
1703
1510
+193
75.2 %
57.1 %
-18.1 %
Win
Won
-
34
1711
+8
20140725 EJC 2014 Millstreet third place match
Eóin Allan
1690
1607
+83
61.7 %
62.5 %
+0.8 %
Win
Won
-
35
1703
+13
20140725 EJC 2014 Millstreet semi-final
Jochen Pfeiffer
1699
1900
-201
23.9 %
16.7 %
-7.3 %
Lose
Lost
-
35
1690
-9
20140725 EJC 2014 Millstreet round of 8
Brook Roberts
1685
1630
+55
57.8 %
100.0 %
+42.2 %
Win
Won
-
35
1699
+14
20140725 EJC 2014 Millstreet round of 16
Markus Utke
1675
1524 P
+151
70.5 %
75.0 %
+4.5 %
Win
Won
-
35
1685
+10
20140613 Berlin 2014 round of 8
Rufus Oelkers
1701
1557
+144
69.6 %
33.3 %
-36.3 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
36
1675
-26
20140510 Lublin 2014 final
Lauge Benjaminsen
1692
1507 P
+185
74.4 %
70.0 %
-4.4 %
Win
Won
-
36
1701
+9
20140510 Lublin 2014 semi-final
Jacek Kwapiński
1682
1537 P
+145
69.7 %
71.4 %
+1.7 %
Win
Won
-
36
1692
+10
20140510 Lublin 2014 round of 8
Jerzy Kozłowski
1672
1500 P
+172
72.9 %
83.3 %
+10.4 %
Win
Won
-
37
1682
+10
20140412 BJC 2014 Darton third place match
Brook Roberts
1657
1601
+56
58.0 %
60.0 %
+2.0 %
Win
Won
-
37
1672
+15
20140412 BJC 2014 Darton semi-final
Iver Tronstad
1683
1543 P
+140
69.1 %
44.4 %
-24.7 %
Win
Lost
Loss
37
1657
-26
20140412 BJC 2014 Darton round of 8
Jon Relf
1672
1529 P
+143
69.5 %
80.0 %
+10.5 %
Win
Won
-
37
1683
+11
20140301 Tropical Islands 2014 final
Rufus Oelkers
1660
1526
+134
68.4 %
55.6 %
-12.8 %
Win
Won
-
38
1672
+12
20140301 Tropical Islands 2014 semi-final
Niklas Aumüller
1649
1502 P
+147
70.0 %
75.0 %
+5.0 %
Win
Won
-
38
1660
+11
20140301 Tropical Islands 2014 round of 8
Lars Olbrich
1638
1500 P
+138
68.9 %
100.0 %
+31.1 %
Win
Won
-
38
1649
+11
20131122 Nuernberg 2013 final
Matty Schneider
1662
1587
+75
60.6 %
44.4 %
-16.2 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
39
1638
-24
20131122 Nuernberg 2013 semi-final
Daniel Ledel
1651
1496 P
+155
70.9 %
75.0 %
+4.1 %
Win
Won
-
39
1662
+11
20131122 Nuernberg 2013 round of 8
Markus Furtner
1643
1420 P
+223
78.3 %
75.0 %
-3.3 %
Win
Won
-
39
1651
+8
20130906 Karlsruhe 2013 final
Jochen Pfeiffer
1652
1867
-215
22.5 %
16.7 %
-5.8 %
Lose
Lost
-
40
1643
-9
20130906 Karlsruhe 2013 semi-final
Alexander Müller
1634
1601
+33
54.7 %
75.0 %
+20.3 %
Win
Won
-
40
1652
+18
20130906 Karlsruhe 2013 round of 8
Alex Haas
1621
1500 P
+121
66.7 %
100.0 %
+33.3 %
Win
Won
-
41
1634
+13
20130801 EJC 2013 Toulouse final
Jochen Pfeiffer
1631
1845
-214
22.6 %
44.4 %
+21.9 %
Lose
Lost
-
41
1621
-10
20130801 EJC 2013 Toulouse semi-final
Jonas Gengnagel
1614
1561
+53
57.6 %
71.4 %
+13.9 %
Win
Won
-
41
1631
+17
20130801 EJC 2013 Toulouse round of 8
Stefan Braun
1599
1497 P
+102
64.3 %
100.0 %
+35.7 %
Win
Won
-
42
1614
+15
20130607 Berlin 2013 round of 8
Matty Schneider
1629
1486
+143
69.5 %
40.0 %
-29.5 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
42
1599
-30
20130510 NJF 2013 final
Simon À Campo
1612
1540 P
+72
60.2 %
62.5 %
+2.3 %
Win
Won
-
43
1629
+17
20130510 NJF 2013 semi-final
Dominik Harant
1595
1537 P
+58
58.3 %
60.0 %
+1.7 %
Win
Won
-
43
1612
+17
20130510 NJF 2013 round of 8
Jeffrey van Meel
1578
1500 P
+78
61.0 %
75.0 %
+14.0 %
Win
Won
-
44
1595
+17

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