Alexander Müller

Profile image of Alexander Müller
Full name: Alexander Müller
Current rank: 4 since Aug. 6, 2018
Highest Rank: 2 first reached June 10, 2013 (8 weeks in total)
2018 race rank: 5
2017: 8
2016: 48
2015: 6
2014: 9
2013: 3
Titles/finals: 5/8

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
20180716 Convention Francaise 2018 final
Jonas Gengnagel
1860
1529
+331
87.1 %
55.6 %
-31.5 %
Win
Won
-
32
1864
+4
20180716 Convention Francaise 2018 semi-final
Michael Masson
1855
1599
+256
81.4 %
83.3 %
+2.0 %
Win
Won
-
32
1860
+5
20180716 Convention Francaise 2018 round of 8
Giuliano Garufi
1852
1500 P
+352
88.4 %
100.0 %
+11.6 %
Win
Won
-
32
1855
+3
20180705 Berlin Lacht 2018 third place match
Zach Washer
1845
1631
+214
77.4 %
83.3 %
+5.9 %
Win
Won
-
32
1852
+7
20180705 Berlin Lacht 2018 semi-final
Luke Burrage
1862
1855
+7
51.0 %
44.4 %
-6.6 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
33
1845
-17
20180705 Berlin Lacht 2018 round of 8
Jochen Hänsel
1859
1468
+391
90.5 %
100.0 %
+9.5 %
Win
Won
-
33
1862
+3
20180615 Berlin 2018 third place match
Andreas Braun
1884
1687
+197
75.7 %
0.0 %
-75.7 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
33
1859
-25
20180615 Berlin 2018 semi-final
Markus Utke
1904
1833
+71
60.1 %
44.4 %
-15.6 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
33
1884
-20
20180615 Berlin 2018 round of 8
Luke Burrage
1890
1855
+35
55.0 %
71.4 %
+16.4 %
Win
Won
-
33
1904
+14
20180615 Berlin 2018 round of 16
Alex Leymann
1887
1507
+380
89.9 %
62.5 %
-27.4 %
Win
Won
-
34
1890
+3
20180602 Oldenburg 2018 final
Stefan Braun
1878
1722
+156
71.1 %
62.5 %
-8.6 %
Win
Won
-
34
1887
+9
20180602 Oldenburg 2018 semi-final
Kilian Maidhof
1874
1536
+338
87.5 %
83.3 %
-4.2 %
Win
Won
-
34
1878
+4
20180602 Oldenburg 2018 round of 8
Nicki Cohrs
1872
1401
+471
93.8 %
71.4 %
-22.3 %
Win
Won
-
34
1874
+2
20180403 Israel 2018 final
Lauge Benjaminsen
1863
1682
+181
73.9 %
55.6 %
-18.4 %
Win
Won
-
35
1872
+9
20180403 Israel 2018 semi-final
Delany Bayles
1859
1538 P
+321
86.4 %
71.4 %
-15.0 %
Win
Won
-
35
1863
+4
20180403 Israel 2018 round of 8
Jakob Ganser
1857
1390
+467
93.6 %
71.4 %
-22.2 %
Win
Won
-
35
1859
+2
20180403 Israel 2018 round of 16
Matthew Greeny
1852
1548
+304
85.2 %
Win
Won
-
35
1857
+5
20171202 European Masters 2017 final
Jochen Pfeiffer
1859
2117
-258
18.5 %
28.6 %
+10.1 %
Lose
Lost
-
36
1852
-7
20171202 European Masters 2017 semi-final
Matty Schneider
1847
1729
+118
66.4 %
71.4 %
+5.1 %
Win
Won
-
36
1859
+12
20171202 European Masters 2017 round of 8
Leo Ostenrath
1833
1772
+61
58.7 %
71.4 %
+12.7 %
Win
Won
-
36
1847
+14
20171202 European Masters 2017 round-robin
Cameron Ford
1824
1640
+184
74.3 %
75.0 %
+0.7 %
Win
Won
-
37
1833
+9
20171202 European Masters 2017 round-robin
Luke Burrage
1844
1830
+14
52.0 %
14.3 %
-37.7 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
37
1824
-20
20171202 European Masters 2017 round-robin
Matty Schneider
1833
1691
+142
69.4 %
75.0 %
+5.6 %
Win
Won
-
37
1844
+11
20171202 European Masters 2017 round-robin
Julius Preu
1813
1856
-43
43.8 %
100.0 %
+56.2 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
37
1833
+20
20171014 Halle 2017 final
Luke Burrage
1791
1865
-74
39.5 %
71.4 %
+31.9 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
38
1813
+22
20171014 Halle 2017 semi-final
Alex Leymann
1785
1517
+268
82.4 %
62.5 %
-19.9 %
Win
Won
-
38
1791
+6
20171014 Halle 2017 round of 8
Markus Oehme
1780
1467 P
+313
85.8 %
100.0 %
+14.2 %
Win
Won
-
38
1785
+5
20170915 Berlin 2017 third place match
Matty Schneider
1766
1670
+96
63.5 %
83.3 %
+19.9 %
Win
Won
-
39
1780
+14
20170915 Berlin 2017 semi-final
Julius Preu
1782
1850
-68
40.3 %
37.5 %
-2.8 %
Lose
Lost
-
39
1766
-16
20170915 Berlin 2017 round of 8
Luke Burrage
1756
1877
-121
33.3 %
71.4 %
+38.2 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
39
1782
+26
20170915 Berlin 2017 round of 16
Cameron Ford
1742
1642
+100
64.0 %
62.5 %
-1.5 %
Win
Won
-
40
1756
+14
20170726 EJC 2017 Lublin round of 8
Leo Ostenrath
1763
1754
+9
51.3 %
16.7 %
-34.6 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
40
1742
-21
20170726 EJC 2017 Lublin round of 16
Vašek Peca
1755
1520 P
+235
79.5 %
55.6 %
-23.9 %
Win
Won
-
41
1763
+8
20170726 EJC 2017 Lublin round of 32
Leo Platz
1747
1511
+236
79.6 %
100.0 %
+20.4 %
Win
Won
-
41
1755
+8
20170506 Hannover 2017 final
Jochen Pfeiffer
1754
2042
-288
16.0 %
28.6 %
+12.6 %
Lose
Lost
-
41
1747
-7
20170506 Hannover 2017 semi-final
Markus Utke
1731
1776
-45
43.6 %
55.6 %
+12.0 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
42
1754
+23
20170506 Hannover 2017 round of 8
Luke Burrage
1700
1890
-190
25.1 %
83.3 %
+58.2 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
42
1731
+31
20160804 EJC 2016 Almere round of 8
Julius Preu
1723
1703
+20
52.9 %
44.4 %
-8.4 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
43
1700
-23
20160804 EJC 2016 Almere round of 16
Markus Utke
1702
1700
+2
50.3 %
62.5 %
+12.2 %
Win
Won
-
43
1723
+21
20160804 EJC 2016 Almere round of 32
Rufus Oelkers
1691
1516
+175
73.3 %
83.3 %
+10.1 %
Win
Won
-
44
1702
+11
20160604 Berlin 2016 round of 8
Luke Burrage
1703
1878
-175
26.7 %
28.6 %
+1.8 %
Lose
Lost
-
44
1691
-12
20151205 European Masters 2015 round of 8
Florian Marienfeld
1735
1589
+146
69.9 %
33.3 %
-36.5 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
45
1703
-32
20151205 European Masters 2015 round-robin
Jochen Hänsel
1728
1456
+272
82.7 %
72.7 %
-10.0 %
Win
Won
-
45
1735
+7
20151205 European Masters 2015 round-robin
Jon Peat
1708
1673
+35
55.0 %
100.0 %
+45.0 %
Win
Won
-
46
1728
+20
20151205 European Masters 2015 round-robin
Luke Burrage
1674
1874
-200
24.0 %
66.7 %
+42.6 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
46
1708
+34
20151205 European Masters 2015 round-robin
Alex Leymann
1658
1553
+105
64.7 %
61.5 %
-3.1 %
Win
Won
-
47
1674
+16
20151106 Cottbus 2015 third place match
Rufus Oelkers
1642
1534
+108
65.1 %
62.5 %
-2.6 %
Win
Won
-
47
1658
+16
20151106 Cottbus 2015 semi-final
Florian Marienfeld
1670
1617
+53
57.6 %
37.5 %
-20.1 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
48
1642
-28
20151106 Cottbus 2015 round of 8
Georg Richter
1659
1465 P
+194
75.3 %
71.4 %
-3.9 %
Win
Won
-
48
1670
+11
20151023 Hamburg 2015 third place match
Florian Marienfeld
1693
1559
+134
68.4 %
28.6 %
-39.8 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
49
1659
-34
20151023 Hamburg 2015 semi-final
Luke Burrage
1708
1865
-157
28.8 %
28.6 %
-0.3 %
Lose
Lost
-
50
1693
-15
20151023 Hamburg 2015 round of 8
Jochen Hänsel
1698
1463
+235
79.5 %
62.5 %
-17.0 %
Win
Won
-
51
1708
+10
20150912 Karlsruhe 2015 final
Julius Preu
1685
1505
+180
73.8 %
71.4 %
-2.4 %
Win
Won
-
51
1698
+13
20150912 Karlsruhe 2015 semi-final
Stefan Braun
1664
1607
+57
58.1 %
57.1 %
-1.0 %
Win
Won
-
52
1685
+21
20150912 Karlsruhe 2015 round of 8
Andreas Braun
1642
1588
+54
57.7 %
60.0 %
+2.3 %
Win
Won
-
53
1664
+22
20141017 Hamburg 2014 third place match
Eóin Allan
1617
1599
+18
52.6 %
75.0 %
+22.4 %
Win
Won
-
54
1642
+25
20141017 Hamburg 2014 semi-final
Luke Burrage
1639
1721
-82
38.4 %
16.7 %
-21.7 %
Lose
Lost
-
55
1617
-22
20141017 Hamburg 2014 round of 8
Rufus Oelkers
1614
1595
+19
52.7 %
66.7 %
+13.9 %
Win
Won
-
55
1639
+25
20141017 Hamburg 2014 round of 16
Karl Schlinger
1592
1526 P
+66
59.4 %
100.0 %
+40.6 %
Win
Won
-
56
1614
+22
20140912 Karlsruhe 2014 final
Jochen Pfeiffer
1603
1860
-257
18.6 %
37.5 %
+18.9 %
Lose
Lost
-
57
1592
-11
20140912 Karlsruhe 2014 semi-final
Matty Schneider
1575
1567
+8
51.2 %
80.0 %
+28.8 %
Win
Won
-
58
1603
+28
20140912 Karlsruhe 2014 round of 8
Jochen Hänsel
1553
1460
+93
63.1 %
60.0 %
-3.1 %
Win
Won
-
60
1575
+22
20130906 Karlsruhe 2013 third place match
Matty Schneider
1520
1551
-31
45.6 %
75.0 %
+29.4 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
61
1553
+33
20130906 Karlsruhe 2013 semi-final
Luke Burrage
1546
1609
-63
41.0 %
25.0 %
-16.0 %
Lose
Lost
-
62
1520
-26
20130906 Karlsruhe 2013 round of 8
Dave Leahy
1516
1500 P
+16
52.3 %
75.0 %
+22.7 %
Win
Won
-
63
1546
+30
20130801 EJC 2013 Toulouse third place match
Jonas Gengnagel
1484
1480
+4
50.6 %
75.0 %
+24.4 %
Win
Won
-
65
1516
+32
20130801 EJC 2013 Toulouse semi-final
Jochen Pfeiffer
1506
1635
-129
32.2 %
0.0 %
-32.2 %
Lose
Lost
-
66
1484
-22
20130801 EJC 2013 Toulouse round of 8
Dominik Harant
1466
1536 P
-70
40.1 %
71.4 %
+31.4 %
Lose
Won
Win
68
1506
+40
20130607 Berlin 2013 third place match
Matty Schneider
1501 P
1510 P
-9
48.7 %
25.0 %
-23.7 %
Lose
Lost
-
70
1466
-35
20130607 Berlin 2013 semi-final
Emil Lamprecht
1537 P
1537 P
0
50.0 %
40.0 %
-10.0 %
50/50
Lost
-
72
1501 P
-36
20130607 Berlin 2013 round of 8
Rufus Oelkers
1500 P
1501 P
-1
49.9 %
60.0 %
+10.1 %
Lose
Won
Win
74
1537 P
+37

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