Fight Night Combat - Sebastian Martini

Sebastian Martini

Full name:	Sebastian Martini
Current rank:	16	since June 17, 2019
Highest Rank:	12	first reached Nov. 26, 2018 (9 weeks in total)
2019 race rank:	19
2018:	13
2017:	21
2016:	67
2015:	=259
Titles/finals:	2/3

Profile Tournaments Matches Rankings Rivalries

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date	Tournament	Round	Opponent	Elo Rating Player	Opponent	Difference	Share of Points Predicted	Actual	Difference	Final Result Predicted	Actual	Difference	K-Factor	Next Elo	Change
20190413	Dortmund 2019	third place match	Stephan Cipra	1575	1561	+14	52.0 %	71.4 %	+19.4 %	Win	Won	-	39	1593	+18
20190413	Dortmund 2019	semi-final	Marius Thies	1593	1636	-43	43.8 %	16.7 %	-27.2 %	Lose	Lost	-	39	1575	-18
20190413	Dortmund 2019	round of 8	Kilian Maidhof	1572	1604	-32	45.4 %	83.3 %	+37.9 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	39	1593	+21
20190302	Oldenburg 2019	third place match	Marius Thies	1594	1562	+32	54.6 %	44.4 %	-10.1 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	40	1572	-22
20190302	Oldenburg 2019	semi-final	Andreas Braun	1603	1819	-216	22.4 %	28.6 %	+6.2 %	Lose	Lost	-	40	1594	-9
20190302	Oldenburg 2019	round of 8	Isabell Stroben	1589	1482	+107	64.9 %	83.3 %	+18.4 %	Win	Won	-	41	1603	+14
20190208	Gluehwein 2019	final	Michael Masson	1610	1602	+8	51.2 %	44.4 %	-6.7 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	41	1589	-21
20190208	Gluehwein 2019	semi-final	Leo Platz	1594	1532	+62	58.8 %	71.4 %	+12.6 %	Win	Won	-	41	1610	+16
20190208	Gluehwein 2019	round of 8	Remi De Vos	1578	1506	+72	60.2 %	100.0 %	+39.8 %	Win	Won	-	42	1594	+16
20181006	Hamburg 2018	round of 8	Alexander Müller	1586	1865	-279	16.7 %	0.0 %	-16.7 %	Lose	Lost	-	42	1578	-8
20180908	Karlsruhe 2018	round of 8	Alexander Armbruster	1615	1500 P	+115	66.0 %	44.4 %	-21.5 %	Win	Lost	Loss	43	1586	-29
20180803	EJC 2018 Azores	round of 8	Brook Roberts	1631	1728	-97	36.4 %	37.5 %	+1.1 %	Lose	Lost	-	43	1615	-16
20180803	EJC 2018 Azores	round of 16	Remi De Vos	1615	1527	+88	62.4 %	83.3 %	+20.9 %	Win	Won	-	44	1631	+16
20180803	EJC 2018 Azores	round of 32	Pham Martin	1597	1539 P	+58	58.3 %	62.5 %	+4.2 %	Win	Won	-	44	1615	+18
20180602	Oldenburg 2018	third place match	Kilian Maidhof	1626	1529	+97	63.6 %	28.6 %	-35.0 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	45	1597	-29
20180602	Oldenburg 2018	semi-final	Stefan Braun	1645	1701	-56	42.0 %	28.6 %	-13.4 %	Lose	Lost	-	45	1626	-19
20180602	Oldenburg 2018	round of 8	Isabell Stroben	1630	1505	+125	67.3 %	62.5 %	-4.8 %	Win	Won	-	46	1645	+15
20180512	Freiburg 2018	final	Junis El-Sarout	1612	1536	+76	60.8 %	62.5 %	+1.7 %	Win	Won	-	46	1630	+18
20180512	Freiburg 2018	semi-final	Stephan Cipra	1598	1466	+132	68.1 %	55.6 %	-12.6 %	Win	Won	-	47	1612	+14
20180512	Freiburg 2018	round of 8	Lars Clauß	1580	1500 P	+80	61.3 %	83.3 %	+22.0 %	Win	Won	-	47	1598	+18
20180324	Dortmund 2018	third place match	Stephan Cipra	1564	1447	+117	66.2 %	62.5 %	-3.7 %	Win	Won	-	48	1580	+16
20180324	Dortmund 2018	semi-final	Marius Thies	1594	1518	+76	60.8 %	44.4 %	-16.3 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	48	1564	-30
20180324	Dortmund 2018	round of 8	Julien Schreier	1578	1458 P	+120	66.6 %	71.4 %	+4.8 %	Win	Won	-	49	1594	+16
20180224	Gluehwein 2018	third place match	Cristobal Bascur	1558	1494	+64	59.1 %	83.3 %	+24.2 %	Win	Won	-	50	1578	+20
20180224	Gluehwein 2018	semi-final	Matty Schneider	1574	1711	-137	31.2 %	28.6 %	-2.7 %	Lose	Lost	-	51	1558	-16
20180224	Gluehwein 2018	round of 8	Lukas Bonauer	1556	1455 P	+101	64.1 %	71.4 %	+7.3 %	Win	Won	-	51	1574	+18
20180210	Ludwigshafen 2018	final	Junis El-Sarout	1531	1520	+11	51.6 %	55.6 %	+4.0 %	Win	Won	-	52	1556	+25
20180210	Ludwigshafen 2018	semi-final	Stephan Cipra	1510	1442	+68	59.7 %	83.3 %	+23.7 %	Win	Won	-	53	1531	+21
20180210	Ludwigshafen 2018	round of 8	Jenny Diener	1485	1468 P	+17	52.4 %	83.3 %	+30.9 %	Win	Won	-	54	1510	+25
20171124	Nuernberg 2017	round of 8	Alex Leymann	1512	1527	-15	47.8 %	37.5 %	-10.3 %	Lose	Lost	-	55	1485	-27
20171104	Neuss 2017	third place match	Tilman Sinning	1485	1479	+6	50.9 %	100.0 %	+49.1 %	Win	Won	-	55	1512	+27
20171104	Neuss 2017	semi-final	Stefan Braun	1502	1647	-145	30.3 %	0.0 %	-30.3 %	Lose	Lost	-	56	1485	-17
20171104	Neuss 2017	round of 8	Stephan Cipra	1476	1452	+24	53.4 %	62.5 %	+9.1 %	Win	Won	-	57	1502	+26
20170927	J-Fest 2017	round of 8	Tobias Horstmann	1509	1468	+41	55.9 %	44.4 %	-11.4 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	58	1476	-33
20170909	Karlsruhe 2017	round of 8	Julius Preu	1520	1796	-276	17.0 %	16.7 %	-0.3 %	Lose	Lost	-	60	1509	-11
20170909	Karlsruhe 2017	round of 16	Tilman Sinning	1500	1387	+113	65.7 %	55.6 %	-10.2 %	Win	Won	-	61	1520	+20
20170726	EJC 2017 Lublin	round of 16	Wes Peden	1519	1666	-147	30.0 %	44.4 %	+14.4 %	Lose	Lost	-	62	1500	-19
20170726	EJC 2017 Lublin	round of 32	Luke Burrage	1461	1899	-438	7.4 %	71.4 %	+64.0 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	63	1519	+58
20170623	Freiburg 2017	third place match	Junis El-Sarout	1497	1466	+31	54.4 %	16.7 %	-37.8 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	65	1461	-36
20170623	Freiburg 2017	semi-final	Matty Schneider	1520	1640	-120	33.4 %	28.6 %	-4.8 %	Lose	Lost	-	66	1497	-23
20170623	Freiburg 2017	round of 8	Kilian Maidhof	1493 P	1424 P	+69	59.8 %	100.0 %	+40.2 %	Win	Won	-	68	1520	+27
20170506	Hannover 2017	round of 8	Jochen Pfeiffer	1496 P	2037	-541	4.3 %	0.0 %	-4.3 %	Lose	Lost	-	70	1493 P	-3
20160909	Karlsruhe 2016	round of 8	Leo Ostenrath	1537 P	1498	+39	55.6 %	16.7 %	-38.9 %	Win	Lost	Loss	72	1496 P	-41
20160909	Karlsruhe 2016	round of 16	Junis El-Sarout	1500 P	1500 P	0	50.0 %	62.5 %	+12.5 %	50/50	Won	-	74	1537 P	+37