Tobias Horstmann

Profile image of Tobias Horstmann
Full name: Tobias Horstmann
Current rank: =72 since Nov. 20, 2017
Highest Rank: 50 first reached Nov. 25, 2013 (6 weeks in total)
2017 race rank: 74
2016 rank: 73
2013 rank: 50
Titles/finals: 0/0

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
20170927 J-Fest 2017 third place match
Mahir Akgündoğdu
1485
1508 P
-23
46.7 %
55.6 %
+8.9 %
Lose
Won
Win
61
1517
+32
20170927 J-Fest 2017 semi-final
Matty Schneider
1503
1662
-159
28.6 %
44.4 %
+15.9 %
Lose
Lost
-
62
1485
-18
20170927 J-Fest 2017 round of 8
Sebastian Martini
1469
1505
-36
44.8 %
55.6 %
+10.7 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
63
1503
+34
20170927 J-Fest 2017 round of 16
Melihcan Komser
1431
1500 P
-69
40.2 %
62.5 %
+22.3 %
Lose
Won
Win
65
1469
+38
20160909 Karlsruhe 2016 third place match
Leo Ostenrath
1461
1499
-38
44.6 %
0.0 %
-44.6 %
Lose
Lost
-
66
1431
-30
20160909 Karlsruhe 2016 semi-final
Julius Preu
1476
1697
-221
21.9 %
0.0 %
-21.9 %
Lose
Lost
-
68
1461
-15
20160909 Karlsruhe 2016 round of 16
Nicki Cohrs
1441 P
1447 P
-6
49.1 %
62.5 %
+13.4 %
Lose
Won
Win
70
1476
+35
20160319 Hannover 2016 round of 8
Markus Utke
1467 P
1568
-101
35.9 %
0.0 %
-35.9 %
Lose
Lost
-
72
1441 P
-26
20131122 Nuernberg 2013 round of 8
Matty Schneider
1500 P
1538
-38
44.6 %
0.0 %
-44.6 %
Lose
Lost
-
74
1467 P
-33

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