Leo Ostenrath

Profile image of Leo Ostenrath
Full name: Leo Ostenrath
Current rank: 11 since Aug. 6, 2018
Highest Rank: 3 first reached June 5, 2017 (36 weeks in total)
2018 race rank: 26
2017: 3
2016: 7
2015: 56
2014: 52
Titles/finals: 4/7

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
20180803 EJC 2018 Azores third place match
Andreas Braun
1768
1750
+18
52.6 %
37.5 %
-15.1 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
32
1751
-17
20180803 EJC 2018 Azores semi-final
Luke Burrage
1781
1872
-91
37.2 %
37.5 %
+0.3 %
Lose
Lost
-
33
1768
-13
20180803 EJC 2018 Azores round of 8
Martin Schwalenberg
1768
1708
+60
58.5 %
62.5 %
+4.0 %
Win
Won
-
33
1781
+13
20180803 EJC 2018 Azores round of 16
Tilman Sinning
1762
1529
+233
79.3 %
71.4 %
-7.8 %
Win
Won
-
33
1768
+6
20180803 EJC 2018 Azores round of 32
Philip Kleybolte
1758
1420 P
+338
87.5 %
100.0 %
+12.5 %
Win
Won
-
33
1762
+4
20171202 European Masters 2017 round of 8
Alexander Müller
1772
1833
-61
41.3 %
28.6 %
-12.7 %
Lose
Lost
-
33
1758
-14
20171202 European Masters 2017 round-robin
Jochen Pfeiffer
1777
2104
-327
13.2 %
40.0 %
+26.8 %
Lose
Lost
-
34
1772
-5
20171202 European Masters 2017 round-robin
Brook Roberts
1801
1669
+132
68.1 %
0.0 %
-68.1 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
34
1777
-24
20171202 European Masters 2017 round-robin
Markus Utke
1783
1816
-33
45.3 %
75.0 %
+29.7 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
34
1801
+18
20171202 European Masters 2017 round-robin
Ian Deady
1768
1746
+22
53.2 %
61.5 %
+8.4 %
Win
Won
-
34
1783
+15
20171014 HJW 2017 final
Bas Van de Kerkhof
1761
1524
+237
79.6 %
62.5 %
-17.1 %
Win
Won
-
35
1768
+7
20171014 HJW 2017 semi-final
Rob van Heijst
1747
1688
+59
58.4 %
83.3 %
+24.9 %
Win
Won
-
35
1761
+14
20171014 HJW 2017 round of 8
Pieter-Jan Hoornaert
1742
1448 P
+294
84.5 %
100.0 %
+15.5 %
Win
Won
-
35
1747
+5
20170909 Karlsruhe 2017 final
Julius Preu
1757
1815
-58
41.7 %
28.6 %
-13.2 %
Lose
Lost
-
35
1742
-15
20170909 Karlsruhe 2017 semi-final
Stefan Braun
1745
1634
+111
65.5 %
62.5 %
-3.0 %
Win
Won
-
36
1757
+12
20170909 Karlsruhe 2017 round of 8
Matty Schneider
1731
1661
+70
59.9 %
62.5 %
+2.6 %
Win
Won
-
36
1745
+14
20170726 EJC 2017 Lublin third place match
Markus Utke
1747
1796
-49
43.0 %
16.7 %
-26.3 %
Lose
Lost
-
36
1731
-16
20170726 EJC 2017 Lublin semi-final
Andreas Braun
1772
1665
+107
64.9 %
0.0 %
-64.9 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
37
1747
-25
20170726 EJC 2017 Lublin round of 8
Alexander Müller
1754
1763
-9
48.7 %
83.3 %
+34.6 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
37
1772
+18
20170726 EJC 2017 Lublin round of 16
Rufus Oelkers
1747
1523
+224
78.4 %
83.3 %
+4.9 %
Win
Won
-
37
1754
+7
20170726 EJC 2017 Lublin round of 32
Isabell Stroben
1740
1504
+236
79.6 %
100.0 %
+20.4 %
Win
Won
-
37
1747
+7
20170527 NJF 2017 final
Luke Burrage
1753
1875
-122
33.1 %
28.6 %
-4.6 %
Lose
Lost
-
38
1740
-13
20170527 NJF 2017 semi-final
Markus Utke
1732
1783
-51
42.7 %
55.6 %
+12.8 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
38
1753
+21
20170527 NJF 2017 round of 8
Jordy Sanchez
1725
1492
+233
79.3 %
62.5 %
-16.8 %
Win
Won
-
38
1732
+7
20170520 Oldenburg 2017 final
Matty Schneider
1709
1652
+57
58.1 %
55.6 %
-2.6 %
Win
Won
-
39
1725
+16
20170520 Oldenburg 2017 semi-final
Isabell Stroben
1701
1476
+225
78.5 %
71.4 %
-7.1 %
Win
Won
-
39
1709
+8
20170520 Oldenburg 2017 round of 8
Tilman Sinning
1696
1396
+300
84.9 %
83.3 %
-1.6 %
Win
Won
-
39
1701
+5
20170210 WJW 2017 Heerlen third place match
Simon À Campo
1685
1531
+154
70.8 %
55.6 %
-15.3 %
Win
Won
-
40
1696
+11
20170210 WJW 2017 Heerlen semi-final
Rob van Heijst
1706
1695
+11
51.6 %
37.5 %
-14.1 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
40
1685
-21
20170210 WJW 2017 Heerlen round of 8
Bas Van de Kerkhof
1698
1465
+233
79.3 %
83.3 %
+4.1 %
Win
Won
-
41
1706
+8
20161126 European Masters 2016 final
Markus Utke
1719
1719
0
50.0 %
36.4 %
-13.6 %
50/50
Lost
-
41
1698
-21
20161126 European Masters 2016 semi-final
Jochen Pfeiffer
1726
2022
-296
15.4 %
14.3 %
-1.1 %
Lose
Lost
-
41
1719
-7
20161126 European Masters 2016 round of 8
Rob van Heijst
1711
1612
+99
63.9 %
61.5 %
-2.3 %
Win
Won
-
42
1726
+15
20161126 European Masters 2016 round-robin
Jan Poolen
1699
1558
+141
69.2 %
61.5 %
-7.7 %
Win
Won
-
42
1711
+12
20161126 European Masters 2016 round-robin
Brook Roberts
1673
1748
-75
39.4 %
66.7 %
+27.3 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
43
1699
+26
20161126 European Masters 2016 round-robin
Luke Burrage
1685
1853
-168
27.5 %
40.0 %
+12.5 %
Lose
Lost
-
43
1673
-12
20161126 European Masters 2016 round-robin
Markus Utke
1658
1754
-96
36.5 %
85.7 %
+49.2 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
44
1685
+27
20161028 Laer 2016 final
Markus Utke
1680
1693
-13
48.1 %
44.4 %
-3.7 %
Lose
Lost
-
44
1658
-22
20161028 Laer 2016 semi-final
Andreas Braun
1660
1622
+38
55.4 %
100.0 %
+44.6 %
Win
Won
-
45
1680
+20
20161028 Laer 2016 round of 8
Stephan Cipra
1653
1379
+274
82.9 %
100.0 %
+17.1 %
Win
Won
-
45
1660
+7
20161015 Herxheim 2016 final
Stefan Braun
1630
1644
-14
48.0 %
55.6 %
+7.6 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
46
1653
+23
20161015 Herxheim 2016 semi-final
Tilman Sinning
1619
1428
+191
75.0 %
55.6 %
-19.5 %
Win
Won
-
46
1630
+11
20161015 Herxheim 2016 round of 8
Andreas Braun
1592
1651
-59
41.6 %
57.1 %
+15.6 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
47
1619
+27
20161008 HJW 2016 final
Rob van Heijst
1568
1579
-11
48.4 %
100.0 %
+51.6 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
47
1592
+24
20161008 HJW 2016 semi-final
Jan Poolen
1538
1632
-94
36.8 %
66.7 %
+29.9 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
48
1568
+30
20161008 HJW 2016 round of 8
Stephan Cipra
1522
1410
+112
65.6 %
75.0 %
+9.4 %
Win
Won
-
48
1538
+16
20160909 Karlsruhe 2016 third place match
Tobias Horstmann
1501
1458
+43
56.2 %
100.0 %
+43.8 %
Win
Won
-
49
1522
+21
20160909 Karlsruhe 2016 semi-final
Matty Schneider
1526
1534
-8
48.8 %
44.4 %
-4.4 %
Lose
Lost
-
50
1501
-25
20160909 Karlsruhe 2016 round of 8
Sebastian Martini
1498
1537 P
-39
44.4 %
83.3 %
+38.9 %
Lose
Won
Win
51
1526
+28
20160515 Aachen 2016 third place match
Sander Vanpraet
1471
1492
-21
47.0 %
83.3 %
+36.4 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
51
1498
+27
20160515 Aachen 2016 semi-final
Julius Preu
1486
1655
-169
27.4 %
28.6 %
+1.1 %
Lose
Lost
-
52
1471
-15
20160515 Aachen 2016 round of 8
David Zimmerman
1460
1463 P
-3
49.6 %
100.0 %
+50.4 %
Lose
Won
Win
53
1486
+26
20160226 WJW 2016 Heerlen round of 8
Julius Preu
1477
1616
-139
31.0 %
40.0 %
+9.0 %
Lose
Lost
-
54
1460
-17
20160226 WJW 2016 Heerlen round of 16
Karsten Schölzel
1440
1575
-135
31.5 %
100.0 %
+68.5 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
55
1477
+37
20160206 Ludwigshafen 2016 third place match
Tilman Sinning
1409
1459
-50
42.9 %
53.3 %
+10.5 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
55
1440
+31
20160206 Ludwigshafen 2016 semi-final
Andreas Braun
1418
1711
-293
15.6 %
42.9 %
+27.2 %
Lose
Lost
-
56
1409
-9
20160206 Ludwigshafen 2016 round of 8
Luca Pferdmenges
1388
1414 P
-26
46.3 %
53.3 %
+7.1 %
Lose
Won
Win
57
1418
+30
20160102 Dutch Juggling Championships 2016 third place match
Jan Poolen
1409
1514
-105
35.3 %
33.3 %
-2.0 %
Lose
Lost
-
58
1388
-21
20160102 Dutch Juggling Championships 2016 semi-final
Iver Tronstad
1416
1791
-375
10.4 %
14.3 %
+3.9 %
Lose
Lost
-
60
1409
-7
20160102 Dutch Juggling Championships 2016 round of 8
Rob van Heijst
1380
1452
-72
39.8 %
85.7 %
+45.9 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
61
1416
+36
20151017 HJW 2015 round of 8
Leo Platz
1406
1465
-59
41.6 %
28.6 %
-13.0 %
Lose
Lost
-
62
1380
-26
20150502 Aachen 2015 third place match
Jan Poolen
1443
1392
+51
57.3 %
0.0 %
-57.3 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
63
1406
-37
20150502 Aachen 2015 semi-final
Leo Platz
1470
1540 P
-70
40.1 %
40.0 %
-0.1 %
Lose
Lost
-
65
1443
-27
20150502 Aachen 2015 round of 8
Asaf More
1434
1466 P
-32
45.4 %
75.0 %
+29.6 %
Lose
Won
Win
66
1470
+36
20150313 WJW 2015 Heerlen round of 8
Simon À Campo
1462
1529
-67
40.5 %
0.0 %
-40.5 %
Lose
Lost
-
68
1434
-28
20150313 WJW 2015 Heerlen round of 16
Josh Dankers
1427 P
1431 P
-4
49.4 %
75.0 %
+25.6 %
Lose
Won
Win
70
1462
+35
20141115 DumBo Days 2014 round of 8
Remi De Vos
1460 P
1493 P
-33
45.3 %
0.0 %
-45.3 %
Lose
Lost
-
72
1427 P
-33
20140621 Eindhoven 2014 round of 8
Simon À Campo
1500 P
1474
+26
53.7 %
0.0 %
-53.7 %
Win
Lost
Loss
74
1460 P
-40

© Copyright 2018, Luke Burrage. All rights reserved.