Thom Herzmark

Profile image of Thom Herzmark
Full name: Thom Herzmark
Current rank: =163 since Nov. 5, 2018
Highest Rank: 152 first reached July 30, 2018 (1 week in total)
2018 race rank: 162
Titles/finals: 0/0

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
20180725 Cumbria 2018 round of 8
Jon Peat
1531 P
1714
-183
25.9 %
28.6 %
+2.7 %
Lose
Lost
-
72
1512 P
-19
20180725 Cumbria 2018 round of 16
Nick Emmerson
1500 P
1448 P
+52
57.4 %
71.4 %
+14.0 %
Win
Won
-
74
1531 P
+31

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