Michal Keda

Profile image of Michal Keda
Full name: Michal Keda
Current rank: 16 since Aug. 12, 2019
Highest Rank: 12 first reached Sept. 10, 2018 (4 weeks in total)
2019 race rank: 14
2018: 12
2017: 65
2016: =135
Titles/finals: 3/7

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
20190808 EJC 2019 Newark round of 32
Lauge Benjaminsen
1632
1637
-5
49.3 %
37.5 %
-11.8 %
Lose
Lost
-
41
1611
-21
20190525 Brno Juggling Day 2019 final
Yufi Zongler
1615
1563
+52
57.4 %
55.6 %
-1.9 %
Win
Won
-
41
1632
+17
20190525 Brno Juggling Day 2019 semi-final
Vašek Peca
1584
1784
-200
24.0 %
55.6 %
+31.5 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
42
1615
+31
20190525 Brno Juggling Day 2019 round of 8
Roman Dobusch
1568
1500 P
+68
59.7 %
83.3 %
+23.7 %
Win
Won
-
42
1584
+16
20190502 Brianza 2019 final
Vašek Peca
1579
1769
-190
25.1 %
0.0 %
-25.1 %
Lose
Lost
-
43
1568
-11
20190502 Brianza 2019 semi-final
Andres Schlein
1552
1653
-101
35.9 %
62.5 %
+26.6 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
43
1579
+27
20190502 Brianza 2019 round of 8
Giuliano Garufi
1533
1500 P
+33
54.7 %
83.3 %
+28.6 %
Win
Won
-
44
1552
+19
20190425 Israel 2019 round of 8
Vašek Peca
1543
1760
-217
22.3 %
44.4 %
+22.2 %
Lose
Lost
-
44
1533
-10
20181124 European Masters 2018 round-robin
Julius Preu
1548
1917
-369
10.7 %
28.6 %
+17.9 %
Lose
Lost
-
45
1543
-5
20181124 European Masters 2018 round-robin
Vašek Peca
1558
1783
-225
21.5 %
0.0 %
-21.5 %
Lose
Lost
-
45
1548
-10
20181124 European Masters 2018 round-robin
Brook Roberts
1523
1734
-211
22.9 %
62.5 %
+39.6 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
46
1558
+35
20181124 European Masters 2018 round-robin
Alexander Müller
1528
1935
-407
8.8 %
16.7 %
+7.9 %
Lose
Lost
-
46
1523
-5
20181124 European Masters 2018 round-robin
Jochen Pfeiffer
1553
2148
-595
3.2 %
28.6 %
+25.4 %
Lose
Lost
-
47
1551
-2
20181124 European Masters 2018 round-robin
Junis El-Sarout
1551
1559
-8
48.8 %
44.4 %
-4.4 %
Lose
Lost
-
47
1528
-23
20181124 European Masters 2018 round-robin
Jon Peat
1569
1696
-127
32.5 %
16.7 %
-15.8 %
Lose
Lost
-
48
1553
-16
20181124 European Masters 2018 round-robin
Andreas Braun
1581
1784
-203
23.7 %
28.6 %
+4.9 %
Lose
Lost
-
48
1569
-12
20181124 European Masters 2018 round-robin
Luke Burrage
1589
1886
-297
15.3 %
16.7 %
+1.3 %
Lose
Lost
-
49
1581
-8
20180803 EJC 2018 Azores round of 16
Andreas Braun
1605
1743
-138
31.1 %
0.0 %
-31.1 %
Lose
Lost
-
50
1589
-16
20180630 Hungary 2018 final
Vašek Peca
1623
1731
-108
34.9 %
28.6 %
-6.4 %
Lose
Lost
-
51
1605
-18
20180630 Hungary 2018 round of 8
Balázs Pálmai
1608
1461
+147
70.0 %
71.4 %
+1.5 %
Win
Won
-
51
1623
+15
20180630 Hungary 2018 round of 8
Vašek Peca
1628
1712
-84
38.1 %
28.6 %
-9.6 %
Lose
Lost
-
52
1608
-20
20180630 Hungary 2018 round of 8
Pánisz Ádám
1611
1481 P
+130
67.9 %
83.3 %
+15.5 %
Win
Won
-
53
1628
+17
20180615 Berlin 2018 round of 16
Rufus Oelkers
1649
1512
+137
68.8 %
28.6 %
-40.2 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
54
1611
-38
20180527 Brno Juggling Day 2018 third place match
Roman Štěpánek
1631
1510 P
+121
66.7 %
55.6 %
-11.2 %
Win
Won
-
55
1649
+18
20180527 Brno Juggling Day 2018 semi-final
Yufi Zongler
1673
1475
+198
75.8 %
44.4 %
-31.3 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
55
1631
-42
20180527 Brno Juggling Day 2018 round of 8
Miroslav Buchal
1657
1500 P
+157
71.2 %
71.4 %
+0.3 %
Win
Won
-
56
1673
+16
20180428 Brianza 2018 final
Vašek Peca
1696
1570
+126
67.4 %
44.4 %
-22.9 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
57
1657
-39
20180428 Brianza 2018 semi-final
Matty Schneider
1661
1739
-78
39.0 %
83.3 %
+44.4 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
58
1696
+35
20180428 Brianza 2018 round of 8
Tilman Sinning
1640
1534
+106
64.8 %
55.6 %
-9.2 %
Win
Won
-
60
1661
+21
20180210 Brno 2018 final
Jakub Szwed
1604
1678
-74
39.5 %
71.4 %
+31.9 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
61
1640
+36
20180210 Brno 2018 semi-final
Vašek Peca
1575
1557
+18
52.6 %
55.6 %
+3.0 %
Win
Won
-
62
1604
+29
20180210 Brno 2018 round of 8
Hermann Reichardt
1552
1465 P
+87
62.3 %
100.0 %
+37.7 %
Win
Won
-
63
1575
+23
20171124 Nuernberg 2017 final
Tilman Sinning
1593
1506
+87
62.3 %
0.0 %
-62.3 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
65
1552
-41
20171124 Nuernberg 2017 semi-final
Alex Leymann
1562
1543
+19
52.7 %
83.3 %
+30.6 %
Win
Won
-
66
1593
+31
20171124 Nuernberg 2017 round of 8
Stephan Cipra
1538 P
1434
+104
64.5 %
55.6 %
-9.0 %
Win
Won
-
68
1562
+24
20161203 Bratislava 2016 final
Philipp Gierlinger
1502 P
1518 P
-16
47.7 %
80.0 %
+32.3 %
Lose
Won
Win
70
1538 P
+36
20161203 Bratislava 2016 semi-final
Stano Mečiar
1463 P
1500 P
-37
44.7 %
80.0 %
+35.3 %
Lose
Won
Win
72
1502 P
+39
20160212 Brno 2016 round of 16
Vašek Peca
1500 P
1500 P
0
50.0 %
25.0 %
-25.0 %
50/50
Lost
-
74
1463 P
-37

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