Michal Keda

Profile image of Michal Keda
Full name: Michal Keda
Current rank: =61 since
Highest Rank: 50 on 20161205 for weeks
Finals/titles: 1/1

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
20161203 Bratislava 2016 final
Philipp Gierlinger
1502 P
1518 P
-16
47.7 %
80.0 %
+32.3 %
Lose
Won
Win
70
1538 P
+36
20161203 Bratislava 2016 semi-final
Stano Mečiar
1463 P
1500 P
-37
44.7 %
80.0 %
+35.3 %
Lose
Won
Win
72
1502 P
+39
20160212 Brno 2016 round of 16
Vaclav Peca
1500 P
1500 P
0
50.0 %
25.0 %
-25.0 %
50/50
Lost
-
74
1463 P
-37

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