Fight Night Combat - Jakub Szwed

Jakub Szwed

Full name:	Jakub Szwed
Current rank:	=125	since July 15, 2019
Highest Rank:	10	first reached Sept. 12, 2016 (1 week in total)
2019 race rank:	87
2018:	26
2016:	15
2015:	17
2014:	44
Titles/finals:	3/5

Profile Tournaments Matches Rankings Rivalries

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date	Tournament	Round	Opponent	Elo Rating Player	Opponent	Difference	Share of Points Predicted	Actual	Difference	Final Result Predicted	Actual	Difference	K-Factor	Next Elo	Change
20190523	Lublin 2019	third place match	Krzysztof Kostera	1685	1517	+168	72.5 %	37.5 %	-35.0 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	45	1652	-33
20190523	Lublin 2019	semi-final	Michał Kozak	1706	1740	-34	45.1 %	44.4 %	-0.7 %	Lose	Lost	-	45	1685	-21
20190523	Lublin 2019	round of 8	Krystian Kucharski	1699	1420	+279	83.3 %	83.3 %	+0.0 %	Win	Won	-	46	1706	+7
20180526	Lublin 2018	final	Mateusz Kownacki	1686	1530	+156	71.1 %	100.0 %	+28.9 %	Win	Won	-	46	1699	+13
20180526	Lublin 2018	semi-final	Michał Kozak	1662	1676	-14	48.0 %	62.5 %	+14.5 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	47	1686	+24
20180526	Lublin 2018	round of 8	Tomasz Strojek	1648	1516 P	+132	68.1 %	100.0 %	+31.9 %	Win	Won	-	47	1662	+14
20180210	Brno 2018	final	Michal Keda	1678	1604	+74	60.5 %	28.6 %	-31.9 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	48	1648	-30
20180210	Brno 2018	semi-final	Artur Perskawiec	1656	1630	+26	53.7 %	83.3 %	+29.6 %	Win	Won	-	48	1678	+22
20180210	Brno 2018	round of 8	Jerzy Kozłowski	1644	1466	+178	73.6 %	83.3 %	+9.7 %	Win	Won	-	49	1656	+12
20160804	EJC 2016 Almere	round of 8	Florian Marienfeld	1673	1623	+50	57.1 %	37.5 %	-19.6 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	50	1644	-29
20160804	EJC 2016 Almere	round of 16	Dave Leahy	1645	1692	-47	43.3 %	100.0 %	+56.7 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	51	1673	+28
20160804	EJC 2016 Almere	round of 32	Brook Roberts	1612	1732	-120	33.4 %	55.6 %	+22.2 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	51	1645	+33
20160520	Lublin 2016	round of 8	Marek -Markian- Żmuda	1645	1556	+89	62.5 %	0.0 %	-62.5 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	52	1612	-33
20160212	Brno 2016	final	Artur Perskawiec	1681	1551	+130	67.9 %	37.5 %	-30.4 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	53	1645	-36
20160212	Brno 2016	semi-final	Marek -Markian- Żmuda	1659	1594	+65	59.2 %	71.4 %	+12.2 %	Win	Won	-	54	1681	+22
20160212	Brno 2016	round of 8	Mario Filzi	1644	1478	+166	72.2 %	100.0 %	+27.8 %	Win	Won	-	55	1659	+15
20151127	Sztukmistrze Lublin 2015	final	Jay Gilligan	1620	1578 P	+42	56.0 %	55.6 %	-0.5 %	Win	Won	-	55	1644	+24
20151127	Sztukmistrze Lublin 2015	semi-final	Artur Perskawiec	1596	1554	+42	56.0 %	71.4 %	+15.4 %	Win	Won	-	56	1620	+24
20151127	Sztukmistrze Lublin 2015	round of 8	Łukasz Witkowski	1574	1500 P	+74	60.5 %	60.0 %	-0.5 %	Win	Won	-	57	1596	+22
20150926	Gdynia 2015	final	Marek -Markian- Żmuda	1542	1587	-45	43.6 %	100.0 %	+56.4 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	58	1574	+32
20150926	Gdynia 2015	semi-final	Artur Perskawiec	1504	1603	-99	36.1 %	80.0 %	+43.9 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	60	1542	+38
20150926	Gdynia 2015	round of 8	Daniel Chlibiuk	1472	1498 P	-26	46.3 %	100.0 %	+53.7 %	Lose	Won	Win	61	1504	+32
20150805	EJC 2015 Bruneck	round of 8	Dave Leahy	1486	1714	-228	21.2 %	37.5 %	+16.3 %	Lose	Lost	-	62	1472	-14
20150805	EJC 2015 Bruneck	round of 16	Elias Windisch	1450	1500 P	-50	42.9 %	55.6 %	+12.7 %	Lose	Won	Win	63	1486	+36
20150516	Lublin 2015	third place match	Jacek Kwapiński	1479	1527	-48	43.1 %	0.0 %	-43.1 %	Lose	Lost	-	65	1450	-29
20150516	Lublin 2015	semi-final	Artur Perskawiec	1506	1571 P	-65	40.8 %	20.0 %	-20.8 %	Lose	Lost	-	66	1479	-27
20150516	Lublin 2015	round of 8	Marcin Borkowski	1470	1500 P	-30	45.7 %	80.0 %	+34.3 %	Lose	Won	Win	68	1506	+36
20150516	Lublin 2015	round of 16	Sebastian Tari	1428 P	1500 P	-72	39.8 %	75.0 %	+35.2 %	Lose	Won	Win	70	1470	+42
20140613	Berlin 2014	round of 16	Fabio Zimmermann	1463 P	1480 P	-17	47.6 %	40.0 %	-7.6 %	Lose	Lost	-	72	1428 P	-35
20140510	Lublin 2014	round of 8	Paweł Witczak	1500 P	1500 P	0	50.0 %	44.4 %	-5.6 %	50/50	Lost	-	74	1463 P	-37