Dave Leahy

Profile image of Dave Leahy
Full name: Dave Leahy
Current rank: 46 since Sept. 18, 2017
Highest Rank: 3 first reached June 23, 2014 (5 weeks in total)
2017 race rank: 43
2016 rank: 35
2015 rank: 4
2014 rank: 5
2013 rank: 8
Titles/finals: 5/11

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
20170527 NJF 2017 round of 16
Roel Post
1662
1436 P
+226
78.6 %
100.0 %
+21.4 %
Win
Lost
Loss
36
1633
-29
20170107 Dutch Juggling Championships 2017 final
Rob van Heijst
1681
1665
+16
52.3 %
28.6 %
-23.7 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
36
1662
-19
20170107 Dutch Juggling Championships 2017 semi-final
Bas Van de Kerkhof
1674
1440
+234
79.4 %
100.0 %
+20.6 %
Win
Won
-
37
1681
+7
20170107 Dutch Juggling Championships 2017 round of 8
Maarten Willy Wils
1666
1463 P
+203
76.3 %
100.0 %
+23.7 %
Win
Won
-
37
1674
+8
20160804 EJC 2016 Almere round of 16
Jakub Szwed
1687
1651
+36
55.2 %
0.0 %
-55.2 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
37
1666
-21
20160804 EJC 2016 Almere round of 32
Cristobal Bascur
1676
1540 P
+136
68.6 %
83.3 %
+14.7 %
Win
Won
-
37
1687
+11
20160506 NJF 2016 round of 16
Jordy Sanchez
1705
1503
+202
76.2 %
28.6 %
-47.6 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
38
1676
-29
20160226 WJW 2016 Heerlen final
Jan Poolen
1731
1608
+123
67.0 %
44.4 %
-22.6 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
38
1705
-26
20160226 WJW 2016 Heerlen semi-final
Julius Preu
1717
1627
+90
62.7 %
100.0 %
+37.3 %
Win
Won
-
38
1731
+14
20160226 WJW 2016 Heerlen round of 8
Rob van Heijst
1708
1517
+191
75.0 %
75.0 %
-0.0 %
Win
Won
-
39
1717
+9
20151205 European Masters 2015 final
Eóin Allan
1723
1815
-92
37.1 %
30.8 %
-6.3 %
Lose
Lost
-
39
1708
-15
20151205 European Masters 2015 semi-final
Florian Marienfeld
1709
1623
+86
62.1 %
66.7 %
+4.5 %
Win
Won
-
39
1723
+14
20151205 European Masters 2015 round of 8
Alex Leymann
1699
1527
+172
72.9 %
75.0 %
+2.1 %
Win
Won
-
40
1709
+10
20151205 European Masters 2015 round-robin
Eóin Allan
1717
1764
-47
43.3 %
33.3 %
-9.9 %
Lose
Lost
-
40
1699
-18
20151205 European Masters 2015 round-robin
Brook Roberts
1744
1634
+110
65.3 %
50.0 %
-15.3 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
41
1717
-27
20151205 European Masters 2015 round-robin
Florian Marienfeld
1728
1657
+71
60.1 %
66.7 %
+6.6 %
Win
Won
-
41
1744
+16
20151205 European Masters 2015 round-robin
Julius Preu
1717
1550
+167
72.3 %
61.5 %
-10.8 %
Win
Won
-
41
1728
+11
20150805 EJC 2015 Bruneck third place match
Florian Marienfeld
1704
1571
+133
68.3 %
83.3 %
+15.1 %
Win
Won
-
42
1717
+13
20150805 EJC 2015 Bruneck semi-final
Luke Burrage
1718
1846
-128
32.4 %
0.0 %
-32.4 %
Lose
Lost
-
42
1704
-14
20150805 EJC 2015 Bruneck round of 8
Jakub Szwed
1709
1485
+224
78.4 %
62.5 %
-15.9 %
Win
Won
-
43
1718
+9
20150805 EJC 2015 Bruneck round of 16
Michael Masson
1699
1506 P
+193
75.2 %
62.5 %
-12.7 %
Win
Won
-
43
1709
+10
20150619 Eindhoven 2015 final
Andreas Braun
1732
1542
+190
74.9 %
44.4 %
-30.5 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
44
1699
-33
20150619 Eindhoven 2015 semi-final
Simon À Campo
1722
1521
+201
76.1 %
100.0 %
+23.9 %
Win
Won
-
44
1732
+10
20150619 Eindhoven 2015 round of 8
Mees Jager
1717
1366
+351
88.3 %
80.0 %
-8.3 %
Win
Won
-
45
1722
+5
20150516 NJF 2015 round of 16
Eóin Allan
1751
1575
+176
73.4 %
44.4 %
-28.9 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
45
1717
-34
20150313 WJW 2015 Heerlen final
Sander Vanpraet
1735
1638
+97
63.6 %
83.3 %
+19.7 %
Win
Won
-
46
1751
+16
20150313 WJW 2015 Heerlen semi-final
Jordy Sanchez
1727
1481
+246
80.5 %
66.7 %
-13.8 %
Win
Won
-
46
1735
+8
20150313 WJW 2015 Heerlen round of 8
Rob van Heijst
1718
1470
+248
80.7 %
60.0 %
-20.7 %
Win
Won
-
47
1727
+9
20150221 Bath UpChuck 2015 final
Jon Peat
1703
1587
+116
66.1 %
56.5 %
-9.6 %
Win
Won
-
47
1718
+15
20150221 Bath UpChuck 2015 semi-final
Danny Cooper
1694
1455
+239
79.8 %
75.0 %
-4.8 %
Win
Won
-
48
1703
+9
20150221 Bath UpChuck 2015 round of 8
Tamar Fynn
1682
1500 P
+182
74.0 %
75.0 %
+1.0 %
Win
Won
-
48
1694
+12
20141017 HJW 2014 Enschede final
Johnny Malcolm
1666
1556 P
+110
65.3 %
62.5 %
-2.8 %
Win
Won
-
49
1682
+16
20141017 HJW 2014 Enschede semi-final
Sander Vanpraet
1652
1495 P
+157
71.2 %
80.0 %
+8.8 %
Win
Won
-
50
1666
+14
20141017 HJW 2014 Enschede round of 8
Simon À Campo
1634
1537
+97
63.6 %
100.0 %
+36.4 %
Win
Won
-
51
1652
+18
20141011 Durham 2014 third place match
Brook Roberts
1607
1638
-31
45.6 %
62.5 %
+16.9 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
51
1634
+27
20141011 Durham 2014 semi-final
Jon Peat
1638
1578
+60
58.5 %
28.6 %
-30.0 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
52
1607
-31
20141011 Durham 2014 round of 8
Ben Randall
1621
1500 P
+121
66.7 %
100.0 %
+33.3 %
Win
Won
-
53
1638
+17
20140926 Skjeve 2014 semi-final
Iver Tronstad
1641
1738
-97
36.4 %
20.0 %
-16.4 %
Lose
Lost
-
54
1621
-20
20140926 Skjeve 2014 round of 8
Rob van Heijst
1623
1505
+118
66.4 %
75.0 %
+8.6 %
Win
Won
-
55
1641
+18
20140725 EJC 2014 Millstreet round of 16
Lauge Benjaminsen
1664
1490 P
+174
73.1 %
25.0 %
-48.1 %
Win
Lost
Loss
55
1623
-41
20140621 Eindhoven 2014 final
Simon À Campo
1646
1522
+124
67.1 %
62.5 %
-4.6 %
Win
Won
-
56
1664
+18
20140621 Eindhoven 2014 semi-final
Rob van Heijst
1629
1492
+137
68.8 %
66.7 %
-2.1 %
Win
Won
-
57
1646
+17
20140621 Eindhoven 2014 round of 8
Mees Jager
1609
1500 P
+109
65.2 %
100.0 %
+34.8 %
Win
Won
-
58
1629
+20
20140412 BJC 2014 Darton final
Iver Tronstad
1644
1592 P
+52
57.4 %
28.6 %
-28.9 %
Win
Lost
Loss
60
1609
-35
20140412 BJC 2014 Darton semi-final
Brook Roberts
1612
1634
-22
46.8 %
62.5 %
+15.7 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
61
1644
+32
20140412 BJC 2014 Darton round of 8
Danny Cooper
1592
1468
+124
67.1 %
100.0 %
+32.9 %
Win
Won
-
62
1612
+20
20140125 Chocfest 2014 final
Brook Roberts
1629
1574
+55
57.8 %
16.7 %
-41.2 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
63
1592
-37
20140125 Chocfest 2014 semi-final
Jon Peat
1604
1529 P
+75
60.6 %
83.3 %
+22.7 %
Win
Won
-
65
1629
+25
20140125 Chocfest 2014 round of 8
Twinkle
1579 P
1500 P
+79
61.2 %
100.0 %
+38.8 %
Win
Won
-
66
1604
+25
20131026 Cambridge 2013 final
Brook Roberts
1546 P
1545 P
+1
50.1 %
60.0 %
+9.9 %
Win
Won
-
68
1579 P
+33
20131026 Cambridge 2013 semi-final
Jon Peat
1509 P
1537 P
-28
46.0 %
58.3 %
+12.4 %
Lose
Won
Win
70
1546 P
+37
20131026 Cambridge 2013 round of 8
Lawrence Chunk Bruce
1471 P
1500 P
-29
45.8 %
100.0 %
+54.2 %
Lose
Won
Win
72
1509 P
+38
20130906 Karlsruhe 2013 round of 8
Alexander Müller
1500 P
1582
-82
38.4 %
25.0 %
-13.4 %
Lose
Lost
-
74
1471 P
-29

© Copyright 2017, Luke Burrage. All rights reserved.