Fight Night Combat - Lukas Bonauer

Lukas Bonauer

Full name:	Lukas Bonauer
Current rank:	42	since Sept. 16, 2019
Highest Rank:	33	first reached Jan. 28, 2019 (1 week in total)
2019 race rank:	50
2018:	44
2017:	=268
Titles/finals:	0/0

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Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date	Tournament	Round	Opponent	Elo Rating Player	Opponent	Difference	Share of Points Predicted	Actual	Difference	Final Result Predicted	Actual	Difference	K-Factor	Next Elo	Change
20190913	Berlin 2019	round of 8	Andreas Braun	1505	1858	-353	11.6 %	16.7 %	+5.1 %	Lose	Lost	-	57	1498	-7
20190913	Berlin 2019	round of 16	Isabell Stroben	1479	1444	+35	55.0 %	62.5 %	+7.5 %	Win	Won	-	58	1505	+26
20190102	Passout 2019	third place match	Nicki Cohrs	1451	1428	+23	53.3 %	100.0 %	+46.7 %	Win	Won	-	60	1479	+28
20190102	Passout 2019	semi-final	Andreas Braun	1459	1804	-345	12.1 %	44.4 %	+32.4 %	Lose	Lost	-	61	1451	-8
20190102	Passout 2019	round of 8	Sebastian Bild	1428	1432 P	-4	49.4 %	71.4 %	+22.0 %	Lose	Won	Win	62	1459	+31
20181103	Wuerzburg 2018	round of 8	Tim Endres	1461	1453 P	+8	51.2 %	37.5 %	-13.7 %	Win	Lost	Loss	63	1428	-33
20180929	HJW 2018	round of 8	Junis El-Sarout	1486	1568	-82	38.4 %	0.0 %	-38.4 %	Lose	Lost	-	65	1461	-25
20180929	HJW 2018	round of 16	Max Bilau	1452	1467 P	-15	47.8 %	83.3 %	+35.5 %	Lose	Won	Win	66	1486	+34
20180405	BJC 2018 Canterbury	round of 8	Cameron Ford	1467	1694	-227	21.3 %	0.0 %	-21.3 %	Lose	Lost	-	68	1452	-15
20180405	BJC 2018 Canterbury	round of 16	Jon Relf	1429 P	1465	-36	44.8 %	55.6 %	+10.7 %	Lose	Won	Win	70	1467	+38
20180224	Gluehwein 2018	round of 8	Sebastian Martini	1455 P	1556	-101	35.9 %	28.6 %	-7.3 %	Lose	Lost	-	72	1429 P	-26
20171001	Durach 2017	round of 8	Lars Lehmann	1500 P	1429	+71	60.1 %	37.5 %	-22.6 %	Win	Lost	Loss	74	1455 P	-45