Rob Thorburn

Profile image of Rob Thorburn
Full name: Rob Thorburn
Current rank: =65 since June 19, 2017
Highest Rank: 49 first reached Feb. 27, 2017 (1 week in total)
2016 rank: 50
2014 rank: 67
Titles/finals: 1/1

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
20160819 Play Festival 2016 final
Will Borrell
1484
1507
-23
46.7 %
55.6 %
+8.9 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
65
1518
+34
20160819 Play Festival 2016 semi-final
Jacob Hirsch-Holland
1443
1537 P
-94
36.8 %
55.6 %
+18.8 %
Lose
Won
Win
66
1484
+41
20160819 Play Festival 2016 round of 8
Justin Warren
1400
1500 P
-100
36.0 %
83.3 %
+47.3 %
Lose
Won
Win
68
1443
+43
20160401 BJC 2016 Perth round of 16
Stephan Cipra
1434 P
1446
-12
48.3 %
28.6 %
-19.7 %
Lose
Lost
-
70
1400
-34
20141025 Cambridge 2014 round of 8
Brook Roberts
1455 P
1611
-156
28.9 %
0.0 %
-28.9 %
Lose
Lost
-
72
1434 P
-21
20141011 Durham 2014 round of 8
Dan Wood
1500 P
1428 P
+72
60.2 %
44.4 %
-15.8 %
Win
Lost
Loss
74
1455 P
-45

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