Fight Night Combat

Dan Wood

Full name:	Dan Wood
Current rank:	48	since April 15, 2019
Highest Rank:	11	first reached Feb. 2, 2015 (6 weeks in total)
2018:	=46
2017:	=57
2016:	=117
2015:	24
2014:	15
Titles/finals:	3/5

Profile Tournaments Matches Rankings Rivalries

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date	Tournament	Round	Opponent	Elo Rating Player	Opponent	Difference	Share of Points Predicted	Actual	Difference	Final Result Predicted	Actual	Difference	K-Factor	Next Elo	Change
20181020	Durham 2018	final	Rob Woolley	1709	1553	+156	71.1 %	62.5 %	-8.6 %	Win	Won	-	44	1721	+12
20181020	Durham 2018	semi-final	Jon Peat	1685	1720	-35	45.0 %	62.5 %	+17.5 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	45	1709	+24
20181020	Durham 2018	round of 8	Chris Noonan	1675	1463 P	+212	77.2 %	83.3 %	+6.1 %	Win	Won	-	45	1685	+10
20180922	Cambridge 2018	third place match	Rob Woolley	1661	1531	+130	67.9 %	100.0 %	+32.1 %	Win	Won	-	46	1675	+14
20180922	Cambridge 2018	semi-final	Brook Roberts	1680	1745	-65	40.8 %	28.6 %	-12.2 %	Lose	Lost	-	46	1661	-19
20180922	Cambridge 2018	round of 8	Pierre Van Denhoven	1667	1500 P	+167	72.3 %	100.0 %	+27.7 %	Win	Won	-	47	1680	+13
20170128	Chocfest 2017	final	Jon Peat	1691	1696	-5	49.3 %	37.5 %	-11.8 %	Lose	Lost	-	47	1667	-24
20170128	Chocfest 2017	semi-final	Cameron Ford	1676	1546	+130	67.9 %	100.0 %	+32.1 %	Win	Won	-	48	1691	+15
20170128	Chocfest 2017	round of 8	Brook Roberts	1648	1707	-59	41.6 %	62.5 %	+20.9 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	48	1676	+28
20161119	Leeds 2016	third place match	Callum Lawrie	1637	1422	+215	77.5 %	71.4 %	-6.1 %	Win	Won	-	49	1648	+11
20161119	Leeds 2016	semi-final	Cameron Ford	1674	1500	+174	73.1 %	37.5 %	-35.6 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	50	1637	-37
20161119	Leeds 2016	round of 8	Mark Pender-Bare	1665	1403	+262	81.9 %	83.3 %	+1.5 %	Win	Won	-	51	1674	+9
20160123	Chocfest 2016	third place match	Ben Horgan	1656	1403	+253	81.1 %	85.7 %	+4.6 %	Win	Won	-	51	1665	+9
20160123	Chocfest 2016	semi-final	Jon Peat	1687	1628	+59	58.4 %	33.3 %	-25.1 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	52	1656	-31
20160123	Chocfest 2016	round of 8	Josh Turner	1671	1535	+136	68.6 %	75.0 %	+6.4 %	Win	Won	-	53	1687	+16
20151121	Leeds 2015	final	Brook Roberts	1640	1705	-65	40.8 %	83.3 %	+42.6 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	54	1671	+31
20151121	Leeds 2015	semi-final	Callum Lawrie	1619	1537 P	+82	61.6 %	62.5 %	+0.9 %	Win	Won	-	55	1640	+21
20151121	Leeds 2015	round of 8	Tom Turner	1600	1500 P	+100	64.0 %	71.4 %	+7.4 %	Win	Won	-	55	1619	+19
20150926	Cambridge 2015	third place match	Jon Relf	1579	1496	+83	61.7 %	83.3 %	+21.6 %	Win	Won	-	56	1600	+21
20150926	Cambridge 2015	semi-final	Jon Peat	1604	1649	-45	43.6 %	28.6 %	-15.0 %	Lose	Lost	-	57	1579	-25
20150926	Cambridge 2015	round of 8	Ieuan Evans	1586	1452 P	+134	68.4 %	100.0 %	+31.6 %	Win	Won	-	58	1604	+18
20150131	Chocfest 2015	final	Johnny Malcolm	1612	1667	-55	42.2 %	37.5 %	-4.7 %	Lose	Lost	-	60	1586	-26
20150131	Chocfest 2015	semi-final	Jon Peat	1580	1607	-27	46.1 %	75.0 %	+28.9 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	61	1612	+32
20150131	Chocfest 2015	round of 8	Twinkle	1557	1471 P	+86	62.1 %	75.0 %	+12.9 %	Win	Won	-	62	1580	+23
20141011	Durham 2014	final	Jon Peat	1518	1606	-88	37.6 %	83.3 %	+45.7 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	63	1557	+39
20141011	Durham 2014	semi-final	Brook Roberts	1468	1689	-221	21.9 %	71.4 %	+49.5 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	65	1518	+50
20141011	Durham 2014	round of 8	Rob Thorburn	1429 P	1500 P	-71	39.9 %	55.6 %	+15.6 %	Lose	Won	Win	66	1468	+39
20140412	BJC 2014 Darton	round of 16	Danny Cooper	1467 P	1430 P	+37	55.3 %	40.0 %	-15.3 %	Win	Lost	Loss	68	1429 P	-38
20140125	Chocfest 2014	third place match	Jon Peat	1503 P	1501 P	+2	50.3 %	16.7 %	-33.6 %	Win	Lost	Loss	70	1467 P	-36
20140125	Chocfest 2014	semi-final	Brook Roberts	1537 P	1564	-27	46.1 %	16.7 %	-29.5 %	Lose	Lost	-	72	1503 P	-34
20140125	Chocfest 2014	round of 8	Anne ???	1500 P	1500 P	0	50.0 %	62.5 %	+12.5 %	50/50	Won	-	74	1537 P	+37