Fight Night Combat

Dan Wood

Full name:	Dan Wood
Current rank:	=52	since July 24, 2017
Highest Rank:	11	first reached Feb. 2, 2015 (6 weeks in total)
2017 race rank:	32
2016 rank:	117
2015 rank:	24
2014 rank:	15
Titles/finals:	2/4

Profile Tournaments Matches Rankings Rivalries

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date	Tournament	Round	Opponent	Elo Rating Player	Opponent	Difference	Share of Points Predicted	Actual	Difference	Final Result Predicted	Actual	Difference	K-Factor	Next Elo	Change
20170128	Chocfest 2017	final	Jon Peat	1690	1693	-3	49.6 %	37.5 %	-12.1 %	Lose	Lost	-	47	1666	-24
20170128	Chocfest 2017	semi-final	Cameron Ford	1675	1544	+131	68.0 %	100.0 %	+32.0 %	Win	Won	-	48	1690	+15
20170128	Chocfest 2017	round of 8	Brook Roberts	1648	1702	-54	42.3 %	62.5 %	+20.2 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	48	1675	+27
20161119	Leeds 2016	third place match	Callum Lawrie	1637	1422	+215	77.5 %	71.4 %	-6.1 %	Win	Won	-	49	1648	+11
20161119	Leeds 2016	semi-final	Cameron Ford	1674	1499	+175	73.3 %	37.5 %	-35.8 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	50	1637	-37
20161119	Leeds 2016	round of 8	Mark Pender-Bare	1665	1402	+263	82.0 %	83.3 %	+1.4 %	Win	Won	-	51	1674	+9
20160123	Chocfest 2016	third place match	Ben Horgan	1656	1402	+254	81.2 %	85.7 %	+4.5 %	Win	Won	-	51	1665	+9
20160123	Chocfest 2016	semi-final	Jon Peat	1687	1624	+63	59.0 %	33.3 %	-25.6 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	52	1656	-31
20160123	Chocfest 2016	round of 8	Josh Turner	1671	1535	+136	68.6 %	75.0 %	+6.4 %	Win	Won	-	53	1687	+16
20151121	Leeds 2015	final	Brook Roberts	1640	1698	-58	41.7 %	83.3 %	+41.6 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	54	1671	+31
20151121	Leeds 2015	semi-final	Callum Lawrie	1619	1537 P	+82	61.6 %	62.5 %	+0.9 %	Win	Won	-	55	1640	+21
20151121	Leeds 2015	round of 8	Tom Turner	1600	1500 P	+100	64.0 %	71.4 %	+7.4 %	Win	Won	-	55	1619	+19
20150926	Cambridge 2015	third place match	Jon Relf	1579	1495	+84	61.9 %	83.3 %	+21.5 %	Win	Won	-	56	1600	+21
20150926	Cambridge 2015	semi-final	Jon Peat	1604	1648	-44	43.7 %	28.6 %	-15.1 %	Lose	Lost	-	57	1579	-25
20150926	Cambridge 2015	round of 8	Ieuan Evans	1586	1452 P	+134	68.4 %	100.0 %	+31.6 %	Win	Won	-	58	1604	+18
20150131	Chocfest 2015	final	Johnny Malcolm	1612	1666	-54	42.3 %	37.5 %	-4.8 %	Lose	Lost	-	60	1586	-26
20150131	Chocfest 2015	semi-final	Jon Peat	1579	1608	-29	45.8 %	75.0 %	+29.2 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	61	1612	+33
20150131	Chocfest 2015	round of 8	Twinkle	1556	1471 P	+85	62.0 %	75.0 %	+13.0 %	Win	Won	-	62	1579	+23
20141011	Durham 2014	final	Jon Peat	1517	1611	-94	36.8 %	83.3 %	+46.5 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	63	1556	+39
20141011	Durham 2014	semi-final	Brook Roberts	1467	1677	-210	23.0 %	71.4 %	+48.4 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	65	1517	+50
20141011	Durham 2014	round of 8	Rob Thorburn	1428 P	1500 P	-72	39.8 %	55.6 %	+15.8 %	Lose	Won	Win	66	1467	+39
20140412	BJC 2014 Darton	round of 16	Danny Cooper	1466 P	1430 P	+36	55.2 %	40.0 %	-15.2 %	Win	Lost	Loss	68	1428 P	-38
20140125	Chocfest 2014	third place match	Jon Peat	1501 P	1502 P	-1	49.9 %	16.7 %	-33.2 %	Lose	Lost	-	70	1466 P	-35
20140125	Chocfest 2014	semi-final	Brook Roberts	1537 P	1542	-5	49.3 %	16.7 %	-32.6 %	Lose	Lost	-	72	1501 P	-36
20140125	Chocfest 2014	round of 8	Anne ???	1500 P	1500 P	0	50.0 %	62.5 %	+12.5 %	50/50	Won	-	74	1537 P	+37