Fight Night Combat - Matthew Sexton

Matthew Sexton

Full name:	Matthew Sexton
Current rank:	55	since Sept. 24, 2018
Highest Rank:	38	first reached May 14, 2018 (1 week in total)
2018 race rank:	49
2017:	70
2016:	112
2015:	132
Titles/finals:	1/2

Profile Tournaments Matches Rankings Rivalries

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date	Tournament	Round	Opponent	Elo Rating Player	Opponent	Difference	Share of Points Predicted	Actual	Difference	Final Result Predicted	Actual	Difference	K-Factor	Next Elo	Change
20180803	EJC 2018 Azores	round of 32	Stefan Braun	1592	1707	-115	34.0 %	16.7 %	-17.4 %	Lose	Lost	-	56	1572	-20
20171111	Circus Festival Ireland 2017	final	James Donnellan	1559	1619	-60	41.5 %	55.6 %	+14.1 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	57	1592	+33
20171111	Circus Festival Ireland 2017	semi-final	Austin Peter Hurley	1537	1461	+76	60.8 %	80.0 %	+19.2 %	Win	Won	-	58	1559	+22
20171111	Circus Festival Ireland 2017	round of 8	Joe Noonan	1508	1500 P	+8	51.2 %	60.0 %	+8.8 %	Win	Won	-	60	1537	+29
20170602	Galway 2017	final	Danny Cooper	1528	1658	-130	32.1 %	0.0 %	-32.1 %	Lose	Lost	-	61	1508	-20
20170602	Galway 2017	semi-final	Stephen McGinley	1485	1637	-152	29.4 %	83.3 %	+53.9 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	62	1528	+43
20170602	Galway 2017	round of 8	Richard Brennan	1453	1463 P	-10	48.6 %	71.4 %	+22.9 %	Lose	Won	Win	63	1485	+32
20161111	Circus Festival Ireland 2016	third place match	James Donnellan	1475	1594	-119	33.5 %	40.0 %	+6.5 %	Lose	Lost	-	65	1453	-22
20161111	Circus Festival Ireland 2016	semi-final	Edward Horner	1504 P	1550 P	-46	43.4 %	40.0 %	-3.4 %	Lose	Lost	-	66	1475	-29
20151114	Circus Festival Ireland 2015	semi-final	James Donnellan	1533 P	1594 P	-61	41.3 %			Lose	Lost	-	68	1504 P	-29
20151114	Circus Festival Ireland 2015	round of 8	Des Johnston	1502 P	1463 P	+39	55.6 %			Win	Won	-	70	1533 P	+31
20151114	Circus Festival Ireland 2015	round of 16	Peter Hurley	1463 P	1500 P	-37	44.7 %			Lose	Won	Win	72	1502 P	+39
20150529	Galway 2015	round of 16	Peter -Turf- Moran	1500 P	1500 P	0	50.0 %			50/50	Lost	-	74	1463 P	-37