Ariel Rogalla

Profile image of Ariel Rogalla
Full name: Ariel Rogalla
Current rank: =60th since June 30, 2025
Highest Rank: 58th first reached April 7, 2025 (1 week in total)
Highest Year-End Rank: 64th (2024)
Titles/finals: 0/0
Elo Rating: 1479

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click on column headers to sort the table.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
2024‑10‑31 Munich 2024
third place match
Alexander Armbruster
Lost
1505
1570
-65
40.8 %
28.6 %
-12.2 %
Lose
Lost
-
62
1479
-26
2024‑10‑31 Munich 2024
semi-final
Kilian Maidhof
Lost
1511
1909
-398
9.2 %
0.0 %
-9.2 %
Lose
Lost
-
63
1505
-6
2024‑10‑31 Munich 2024
round of 8
Florentin Spoatzle
Won
1481
1459
+22
53.2 %
100.0 %
+46.8 %
Win
Won
-
65
1511
+30
2024‑07‑27 EJC 2024 Ovar
round of 16
VaĊĦek Peca
Lost
1492
1782
-290
15.9 %
37.5 %
+21.6 %
Lose
Lost
-
66
1481
-11
2024‑07‑27 EJC 2024 Ovar
round of 32
Alex Leymann
Won
1449
1546
-97
36.4 %
55.6 %
+19.2 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
68
1492
+43
2023‑05‑28 Freiburg 2023
round of 8
Sebastian Martini
Lost
1468 P
1646
-178
26.4 %
16.7 %
-9.7 %
Lose
Lost
-
70
1449
-19
2022‑06‑18 Hannover 2022
round of 8
Jochen Pfeiffer
Lost
1470 P
2129
-659
2.2 %
16.7 %
+14.5 %
Lose
Lost
-
72
1468 P
-2
2021‑09‑25 Freiburg 2021
round of 8
Junis El-Sarout
Lost
1500 P
1568
-68
40.3 %
0.0 %
-40.3 %
Lose
Lost
-
74
1470 P
-30

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