Fight Night Combat - Michal Keda

Michal Keda

Full name:	Michal Keda
Current rank:	=95th	since July 21, 2025
Highest Rank:	9th	first reached February 6, 2023 (5 weeks in total)
Highest Year-End Rank:	10th	(2022)
Titles/finals:	5/9
Elo Rating:	1612

Profile Tournaments Matches Rankings Rivalries

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click on column headers to sort the table.

Date	Tournament	Round	Opponent	Elo Rating Player	Opponent	Difference	Share of Points Predicted	Actual	Difference	Final Result Predicted	Actual	Difference	K-Factor	Next Elo	Change
2024‑07‑27	EJC 2024 Ovar	round of 16	Jasper Moens	Lost	1617	1960	-343	12.2 %	28.6 %	+16.4 %	Lose	Lost	-	33	1612	-5
2024‑07‑27	EJC 2024 Ovar	round of 32	Thom Herzmark	Won	1606	1507	+99	63.9 %	62.5 %	-1.4 %	Win	Won	-	33	1617	+11
2023‑07‑28	Carnaval Sztukmistrzow 2023	round of 8	Or Koren Light	Lost	1627	1549	+78	61.0 %	16.7 %	-44.4 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	34	1606	-21
2022‑12‑03	European Championships 2022 Open	round of 8	Callie Lawrie	Lost	1647	1586	+61	58.7 %	44.4 %	-14.2 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	34	1627	-20
2022‑12‑03	European Championships 2022 Open	round-robin	Kilian Maidhof	Lost	1657	1829	-172	27.1 %	28.6 %	+1.5 %	Lose	Lost	-	34	1647	-10
2022‑12‑03	European Championships 2022 Open	round-robin	Luke Burrage	Lost	1666	1846	-180	26.2 %	16.7 %	-9.5 %	Lose	Lost	-	34	1657	-9
2022‑12‑03	European Championships 2022 Open	round-robin	Bas Van de Kerkhof	Lost	1673	1935	-262	18.1 %	37.5 %	+19.4 %	Lose	Lost	-	35	1666	-7
2022‑12‑03	European Championships 2022 Open	round-robin	Yaron Davidovich	Lost	1689	1728	-39	44.4 %	0.0 %	-44.4 %	Lose	Lost	-	35	1673	-16
2022‑12‑03	European Championships 2022 Open	round-robin	Krzysztof Kostera	Lost	1699	1867	-168	27.5 %	44.4 %	+16.9 %	Lose	Lost	-	35	1689	-10
2022‑12‑03	European Championships 2022 Open	round-robin	Julius Preu	Lost	1706	1958	-252	19.0 %	0.0 %	-19.0 %	Lose	Lost	-	35	1699	-7
2022‑12‑03	European Championships 2022 Open	round-robin	Callie Lawrie	Won	1692	1633	+59	58.4 %	100.0 %	+41.6 %	Win	Won	-	36	1706	+14
2022‑12‑03	European Championships 2022 Open	round-robin	Jochen Pfeiffer	Lost	1695	2141	-446	7.1 %	0.0 %	-7.1 %	Lose	Lost	-	36	1692	-3
2022‑12‑03	European Championships 2022 Open	round-robin	Jasper Moens	Lost	1715	1694	+21	53.0 %	0.0 %	-53.0 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	36	1695	-20
2022‑10‑29	Munich 2022	final	Lukas Bonauer	Won	1701	1624	+77	60.9 %	83.3 %	+22.4 %	Win	Won	-	37	1715	+14
2022‑10‑29	Munich 2022	semi-final	Niklas Aumüller	Won	1691	1525	+166	72.2 %	62.5 %	-9.7 %	Win	Won	-	37	1701	+10
2022‑10‑29	Munich 2022	round of 8	Florentin Spoatzle	Won	1680	1540 P	+140	69.1 %	83.3 %	+14.2 %	Win	Won	-	37	1691	+11
2022‑08‑06	EJC 2022 Tres Cantos	round of 16	Alexander Müller	Lost	1691	1863	-172	27.1 %	16.7 %	-10.4 %	Lose	Lost	-	37	1680	-11
2022‑08‑06	EJC 2022 Tres Cantos	round of 32	Paula Mühlmeyer	Won	1683	1476	+207	76.7 %	55.6 %	-21.1 %	Win	Won	-	38	1691	+8
2022‑06‑18	Czechia Circus Culture Fest 2022	final	Daniela Paličková	Won	1674	1493 P	+181	73.9 %	100.0 %	+26.1 %	Win	Won	-	38	1683	+9
2022‑06‑18	Czechia Circus Culture Fest 2022	semi-final	Yufi Zongler	Won	1661	1548	+113	65.7 %	83.3 %	+17.6 %	Win	Won	-	38	1674	+13
2022‑04‑15	BJC 2022 Ramsgate	third place match	Jon Peat	Won	1639	1701	-62	41.2 %	62.5 %	+21.3 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	39	1661	+22
2022‑04‑15	BJC 2022 Ramsgate	semi-final	Luke Burrage	Lost	1648	1862	-214	22.6 %	28.6 %	+6.0 %	Lose	Lost	-	39	1639	-9
2022‑04‑15	BJC 2022 Ramsgate	round of 8	Callie Lawrie	Won	1630	1613	+17	52.4 %	62.5 %	+10.1 %	Win	Won	-	39	1648	+18
2020‑01‑01	Brno 2020	third place match	Yufi Zongler	Won	1614	1546	+68	59.7 %	83.3 %	+23.7 %	Win	Won	-	40	1630	+16
2020‑01‑01	Brno 2020	semi-final	Luke Burrage	Lost	1623	1851	-228	21.2 %	16.7 %	-4.5 %	Lose	Lost	-	40	1614	-9
2020‑01‑01	Brno 2020	round of 8	Filip Jašek	Won	1611	1463 P	+148	70.1 %	100.0 %	+29.9 %	Win	Won	-	41	1623	+12
2019‑08‑08	EJC 2019 Newark	round of 32	Lauge Benjaminsen	Lost	1632	1637	-5	49.3 %	37.5 %	-11.8 %	Lose	Lost	-	41	1611	-21
2019‑05‑25	Brno Juggling Day 2019	final	Yufi Zongler	Won	1615	1563	+52	57.4 %	55.6 %	-1.9 %	Win	Won	-	41	1632	+17
2019‑05‑25	Brno Juggling Day 2019	semi-final	Vašek Peca	Won	1584	1784	-200	24.0 %	55.6 %	+31.5 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	42	1615	+31
2019‑05‑25	Brno Juggling Day 2019	round of 8	Roman Dobusch	Won	1568	1500 P	+68	59.7 %	83.3 %	+23.7 %	Win	Won	-	42	1584	+16
2019‑05‑02	Brianza 2019	final	Vašek Peca	Lost	1579	1769	-190	25.1 %	0.0 %	-25.1 %	Lose	Lost	-	43	1568	-11
2019‑05‑02	Brianza 2019	semi-final	Andres Schlein	Won	1552	1653	-101	35.9 %	62.5 %	+26.6 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	43	1579	+27
2019‑05‑02	Brianza 2019	round of 8	Giuliano Garufi	Won	1533	1491 P	+42	56.0 %	83.3 %	+27.3 %	Win	Won	-	44	1552	+19
2019‑04‑25	Israel 2019	round of 8	Vašek Peca	Lost	1543	1760	-217	22.3 %	44.4 %	+22.2 %	Lose	Lost	-	44	1533	-10
2018‑11‑24	European Championships 2018	round-robin	Julius Preu	Lost	1548	1917	-369	10.7 %	28.6 %	+17.9 %	Lose	Lost	-	45	1543	-5
2018‑11‑24	European Championships 2018	round-robin	Vašek Peca	Lost	1558	1783	-225	21.5 %	0.0 %	-21.5 %	Lose	Lost	-	45	1548	-10
2018‑11‑24	European Championships 2018	round-robin	Brook Roberts	Won	1523	1734	-211	22.9 %	62.5 %	+39.6 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	46	1558	+35
2018‑11‑24	European Championships 2018	round-robin	Alexander Müller	Lost	1528	1935	-407	8.8 %	16.7 %	+7.9 %	Lose	Lost	-	46	1523	-5
2018‑11‑24	European Championships 2018	round-robin	Jochen Pfeiffer	Lost	1553	2148	-595	3.2 %	28.6 %	+25.4 %	Lose	Lost	-	47	1551	-2
2018‑11‑24	European Championships 2018	round-robin	Junis El-Sarout	Lost	1551	1559	-8	48.8 %	44.4 %	-4.4 %	Lose	Lost	-	47	1528	-23
2018‑11‑24	European Championships 2018	round-robin	Jon Peat	Lost	1569	1696	-127	32.5 %	16.7 %	-15.8 %	Lose	Lost	-	48	1553	-16
2018‑11‑24	European Championships 2018	round-robin	Andreas Braun	Lost	1581	1784	-203	23.7 %	28.6 %	+4.9 %	Lose	Lost	-	48	1569	-12
2018‑11‑24	European Championships 2018	round-robin	Luke Burrage	Lost	1589	1886	-297	15.3 %	16.7 %	+1.3 %	Lose	Lost	-	49	1581	-8
2018‑08‑03	EJC 2018 Azores	round of 16	Andreas Braun	Lost	1605	1743	-138	31.1 %	0.0 %	-31.1 %	Lose	Lost	-	50	1589	-16
2018‑06‑30	Hungary 2018	final	Vašek Peca	Lost	1623	1731	-108	34.9 %	28.6 %	-6.4 %	Lose	Lost	-	51	1605	-18
2018‑06‑30	Hungary 2018	round of 8	Balázs Pálmai	Won	1608	1461	+147	70.0 %	71.4 %	+1.5 %	Win	Won	-	51	1623	+15
2018‑06‑30	Hungary 2018	round of 8	Vašek Peca	Lost	1628	1712	-84	38.1 %	28.6 %	-9.6 %	Lose	Lost	-	52	1608	-20
2018‑06‑30	Hungary 2018	round of 8	Pánisz Ádám	Won	1611	1481 P	+130	67.9 %	83.3 %	+15.5 %	Win	Won	-	53	1628	+17
2018‑06‑15	Berlin 2018	round of 16	Rufus Oelkers	Lost	1649	1512	+137	68.8 %	28.6 %	-40.2 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	54	1611	-38
2018‑05‑27	Brno Juggling Day 2018	third place match	Roman Štěpánek	Won	1631	1510 P	+121	66.7 %	55.6 %	-11.2 %	Win	Won	-	55	1649	+18
2018‑05‑27	Brno Juggling Day 2018	semi-final	Yufi Zongler	Lost	1673	1475	+198	75.8 %	44.4 %	-31.3 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	55	1631	-42
2018‑05‑27	Brno Juggling Day 2018	round of 8	Miroslav Buchal	Won	1657	1500 P	+157	71.2 %	71.4 %	+0.3 %	Win	Won	-	56	1673	+16
2018‑04‑28	Brianza 2018	final	Vašek Peca	Lost	1696	1570	+126	67.4 %	44.4 %	-22.9 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	57	1657	-39
2018‑04‑28	Brianza 2018	semi-final	Matty Schneider	Won	1661	1739	-78	39.0 %	83.3 %	+44.4 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	58	1696	+35
2018‑04‑28	Brianza 2018	round of 8	Tilman Sinning	Won	1640	1534	+106	64.8 %	55.6 %	-9.2 %	Win	Won	-	60	1661	+21
2018‑02‑10	Brno 2018	final	Jakub Szwed	Won	1604	1678	-74	39.5 %	71.4 %	+31.9 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	61	1640	+36
2018‑02‑10	Brno 2018	semi-final	Vašek Peca	Won	1575	1557	+18	52.6 %	55.6 %	+3.0 %	Win	Won	-	62	1604	+29
2018‑02‑10	Brno 2018	round of 8	Hermann Reichardt	Won	1552	1465 P	+87	62.3 %	100.0 %	+37.7 %	Win	Won	-	63	1575	+23
2017‑11‑24	Nuernberg 2017	final	Tilman Sinning	Lost	1593	1506	+87	62.3 %	0.0 %	-62.3 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	65	1552	-41
2017‑11‑24	Nuernberg 2017	semi-final	Alex Leymann	Won	1562	1543	+19	52.7 %	83.3 %	+30.6 %	Win	Won	-	66	1593	+31
2017‑11‑24	Nuernberg 2017	round of 8	Stephan Cipra	Won	1538 P	1434	+104	64.5 %	55.6 %	-9.0 %	Win	Won	-	68	1562	+24
2016‑12‑03	Bratislava 2016	final	Philipp Gierlinger	Won	1502 P	1518 P	-16	47.7 %	80.0 %	+32.3 %	Lose	Won	Win	70	1538 P	+36
2016‑12‑03	Bratislava 2016	semi-final	Stano Mečiar	Won	1463 P	1500 P	-37	44.7 %	80.0 %	+35.3 %	Lose	Won	Win	72	1502 P	+39
2016‑02‑12	Brno 2016	round of 16	Vašek Peca	Lost	1500 P	1500 P	0	50.0 %	25.0 %	-25.0 %	50/50	Lost	-	74	1463 P	-37