Fight Night Combat - Tobias Horstmann

Tobias Horstmann

Full name:	Tobias Horstmann
Current rank:	unranked	since October 14, 2019
Highest Rank:	36th	first reached August 6, 2018 (2 weeks in total)
Highest Year-End Rank:	40th	(2018)
Titles/finals:	0/0
Elo Rating:	1470

Profile Tournaments Matches Rankings Rivalries

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click on column headers to sort the table.

Date	Tournament	Round	Opponent	Elo Rating Player	Opponent	Difference	Share of Points Predicted	Actual	Difference	Final Result Predicted	Actual	Difference	K-Factor	Next Elo	Change
2018‑09‑27	J-Fest 2018	third place match	Mahir Akgündoğdu	Won	1440	1491 P	-51	42.7 %	71.4 %	+28.7 %	Lose	Won	Win	53	1470	+30
2018‑09‑27	J-Fest 2018	semi-final	Necmi Can Öztoprak	Lost	1465	1502 P	-37	44.7 %	44.4 %	-0.3 %	Lose	Lost	-	54	1440	-25
2018‑09‑27	J-Fest 2018	round of 8	Cem Özcan	Won	1433	1500 P	-67	40.5 %	62.5 %	+22.0 %	Lose	Won	Win	55	1465	+32
2018‑08‑03	EJC 2018 Azores	round of 32	Remi De Vos	Lost	1457	1504	-47	43.3 %	0.0 %	-43.3 %	Lose	Lost	-	55	1433	-24
2018‑05‑19	Rostock 2018	third place match	Stephan Cipra	Lost	1489	1442	+47	56.7 %	28.6 %	-28.2 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	56	1457	-32
2018‑05‑19	Rostock 2018	semi-final	Martin Schwalenberg	Lost	1507	1654	-147	30.0 %	16.7 %	-13.4 %	Lose	Lost	-	57	1489	-18
2018‑05‑19	Rostock 2018	round of 8	Philip Kleybolte	Won	1481	1454 P	+27	53.9 %	71.4 %	+17.6 %	Win	Won	-	58	1507	+26
2018‑02‑24	Tropical Islands 2018	round of 16	Marius Thies	Lost	1517	1454 P	+63	59.0 %	40.0 %	-19.0 %	Win	Lost	Loss	60	1481	-36
2017‑09‑27	J-Fest 2017	third place match	Mahir Akgündoğdu	Won	1485	1509 P	-24	46.6 %	55.6 %	+9.0 %	Lose	Won	Win	61	1517	+32
2017‑09‑27	J-Fest 2017	semi-final	Matty Schneider	Lost	1503	1667	-164	28.0 %	44.4 %	+16.4 %	Lose	Lost	-	62	1485	-18
2017‑09‑27	J-Fest 2017	round of 8	Sebastian Martini	Won	1468	1509	-41	44.1 %	55.6 %	+11.4 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	63	1503	+35
2017‑09‑27	J-Fest 2017	round of 16	Melihcan Komser	Won	1429	1500 P	-71	39.9 %	62.5 %	+22.6 %	Lose	Won	Win	65	1468	+39
2016‑09‑09	Karlsruhe 2016	third place match	Leo Ostenrath	Lost	1458	1501	-43	43.8 %	0.0 %	-43.8 %	Lose	Lost	-	66	1429	-29
2016‑09‑09	Karlsruhe 2016	semi-final	Julius Preu	Lost	1473	1697	-224	21.6 %	0.0 %	-21.6 %	Lose	Lost	-	68	1458	-15
2016‑09‑09	Karlsruhe 2016	round of 16	Nicki Cohrs	Won	1438 P	1447 P	-9	48.7 %	62.5 %	+13.8 %	Lose	Won	Win	70	1473	+35
2016‑03‑19	Hannover 2016	round of 8	Markus Utke	Lost	1464 P	1564	-100	36.0 %	0.0 %	-36.0 %	Lose	Lost	-	72	1438 P	-26