Fight Night Combat - Patrick Adderley

Patrick Adderley

Full name:	Patrick Adderley
Current rank:	unranked	since August 1, 2022
Highest Rank:	11th	first reached November 1, 2021 (4 weeks in total)
Highest Year-End Rank:	11th	(2021)
Titles/finals:	1/2
Elo Rating:	1577

Profile Tournaments Matches Rankings Rivalries

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click on column headers to sort the table.

Date	Tournament	Round	Opponent	Elo Rating Player	Opponent	Difference	Share of Points Predicted	Actual	Difference	Final Result Predicted	Actual	Difference	K-Factor	Next Elo	Change
2021‑07‑31	Winter is Passing 2021	final	Nathan Bonner	Won	1550	1573 P	-23	46.7 %	58.3 %	+11.6 %	Lose	Won	Win	52	1577	+27
2021‑07‑31	Winter is Passing 2021	semi-final	Kozo Komatsubara	Won	1530	1453	+77	60.9 %	83.3 %	+22.4 %	Win	Won	-	53	1550	+20
2021‑07‑31	Winter is Passing 2021	round of 8	Rohan Cano-Prasad	Won	1504	1500 P	+4	50.6 %	100.0 %	+49.4 %	Win	Won	-	54	1530	+26
2021‑02‑19	New Zealand 2021	round of 8	Degge Jarvie	Lost	1523	1638	-115	34.0 %	0.0 %	-34.0 %	Lose	Lost	-	55	1504	-19
2019‑09‑26	Melbourne 2019	round of 8	Gavin Hillier	Lost	1547	1598	-51	42.7 %	0.0 %	-42.7 %	Lose	Lost	-	55	1523	-24
2019‑09‑26	Melbourne 2019	round of 16	Sam Brew	Won	1523	1485 P	+38	55.4 %	83.3 %	+27.9 %	Win	Won	-	56	1547	+24
2019‑04‑25	Adelaide 2019	final	Byron Hutton	Lost	1537	1742	-205	23.5 %	12.5 %	-11.0 %	Lose	Lost	-	57	1523	-14
2019‑04‑25	Adelaide 2019	semi-final	Simon Wright	Won	1504	1554	-50	42.9 %	55.6 %	+12.7 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	58	1537	+33
2019‑04‑25	Adelaide 2019	round of 8	Daniel Gunthorpe	Won	1469	1537 P	-68	40.3 %	83.3 %	+43.0 %	Lose	Won	Win	60	1504	+35
2019‑02‑03	New Zealand 2019	round of 16	Martin Gower	Lost	1503	1464 P	+39	55.6 %	44.4 %	-11.1 %	Win	Lost	Loss	61	1469	-34
2019‑01‑26	Newcastle 2019	round of 8	Dillon Burchill	Lost	1538	1500 P	+38	55.4 %	44.4 %	-11.0 %	Win	Lost	Loss	62	1503	-35
2019‑01‑09	Capital Fight Night 2019	third place match	Dimitri Yialeloglou	Won	1510	1479 P	+31	54.4 %	83.3 %	+28.9 %	Win	Won	-	63	1538	+28
2019‑01‑09	Capital Fight Night 2019	semi-final	Gavin Hillier	Lost	1546	1509 P	+37	55.3 %	16.7 %	-38.6 %	Win	Lost	Loss	65	1510	-36
2019‑01‑09	Capital Fight Night 2019	round of 8	Chris Holton	Won	1511 P	1537 P	-26	46.3 %	100.0 %	+53.7 %	Lose	Won	Win	66	1546	+35
2018‑09‑27	Melbourne 2018	round of 8	Byron Hutton	Lost	1534 P	1658	-124	32.9 %	16.7 %	-16.2 %	Lose	Lost	-	68	1511 P	-23
2018‑02‑17	New Zealand 2018	third place match	Martin Gower	Won	1499 P	1499 P	0	50.0 %	55.6 %	+5.6 %	50/50	Won	-	70	1534 P	+35
2018‑02‑17	New Zealand 2018	semi-final	Zach Washer	Lost	1533 P	1556	-23	46.7 %	16.7 %	-30.0 %	Lose	Lost	-	72	1499 P	-34
2018‑02‑17	New Zealand 2018	round of 8	Aidan Crawley	Won	1500 P	1469 P	+31	54.4 %	83.3 %	+28.9 %	Win	Won	-	74	1533 P	+33