Fight Night Combat - Kozo Komatsubara

Kozo Komatsubara

Full name:	Kozo Komatsubara
Current rank:	unranked	since September 30, 2024
Highest Rank:	27th	first reached September 20, 2021 (1 week in total)
Highest Year-End Rank:	31st	(2021)
Titles/finals:	0/0
Elo Rating:	1374

Profile Tournaments Matches Rankings Rivalries

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click on column headers to sort the table.

Date	Tournament	Round	Opponent	Elo Rating Player	Opponent	Difference	Share of Points Predicted	Actual	Difference	Final Result Predicted	Actual	Difference	K-Factor	Next Elo	Change
2023‑09‑28	Melbourne 2023	round of 8	Ryan Hooper	Lost	1383	1680	-297	15.3 %	0.0 %	-15.3 %	Lose	Lost	-	53	1374	-9
2023‑09‑28	Melbourne 2023	round of 16	Henry Deam	Won	1345	1500 P	-155	29.1 %	83.3 %	+54.3 %	Lose	Won	Win	54	1383	+38
2023‑04‑21	Adelaide 2023	round of 16	Darcy Wiseman	Lost	1361	1530 P	-169	27.4 %	16.7 %	-10.8 %	Lose	Lost	-	55	1345	-16
2023‑02‑04	New Zealand 2023	round of 8	Mark Williams	Lost	1370	1671	-301	15.0 %	16.7 %	+1.6 %	Lose	Lost	-	55	1361	-9
2022‑10‑22	New Zealand 2022	round of 8	Josef Komissar	Lost	1390	1500 P	-110	34.7 %	0.0 %	-34.7 %	Lose	Lost	-	56	1370	-20
2022‑04‑24	Adelaide 2022	round of 8	Simon Wright	Lost	1405	1593	-188	25.3 %	16.7 %	-8.6 %	Lose	Lost	-	57	1390	-15
2021‑07‑31	Winter is Passing 2021	third place match	Derek Harland	Lost	1429	1501 P	-72	39.8 %	16.7 %	-23.1 %	Lose	Lost	-	58	1405	-24
2021‑07‑31	Winter is Passing 2021	semi-final	Patrick Adderley	Lost	1453	1530	-77	39.1 %	16.7 %	-22.4 %	Lose	Lost	-	60	1429	-24
2021‑07‑31	Winter is Passing 2021	round of 8	Matthias Goed	Won	1419	1463 P	-44	43.7 %	71.4 %	+27.7 %	Lose	Won	Win	61	1453	+34
2021‑02‑19	New Zealand 2021	round of 8	Sam Kronfeld	Lost	1443	1529	-86	37.9 %	16.7 %	-21.2 %	Lose	Lost	-	62	1419	-24
2020‑01‑30	New Zealand 2020	round of 8	Zach Washer	Lost	1462	1616	-154	29.2 %	28.6 %	-0.6 %	Lose	Lost	-	63	1443	-19
2019‑09‑26	Melbourne 2019	round of 8	Lauge Benjaminsen	Lost	1480	1650	-170	27.3 %	0.0 %	-27.3 %	Lose	Lost	-	65	1462	-18
2019‑09‑26	Melbourne 2019	round of 16	Chris Hill	Won	1442	1500 P	-58	41.7 %	83.3 %	+41.6 %	Lose	Won	Win	66	1480	+38
2019‑04‑25	Adelaide 2019	round of 16	Sam Brew	Lost	1478 P	1465 P	+13	51.9 %	44.4 %	-7.4 %	Win	Lost	Loss	68	1442	-36
2019‑02‑03	New Zealand 2019	round of 8	Zach Washer	Lost	1502 P	1617	-115	34.0 %	0.0 %	-34.0 %	Lose	Lost	-	70	1478 P	-24
2019‑02‑03	New Zealand 2019	round of 16	Connor Leech	Won	1463 P	1500 P	-37	44.7 %	83.3 %	+38.6 %	Lose	Won	Win	72	1502 P	+39
2018‑02‑17	New Zealand 2018	round of 8	Martin Gower	Lost	1500 P	1500 P	0	50.0 %	37.5 %	-12.5 %	50/50	Lost	-	74	1463 P	-37