William Alex Larson

Profile image of William Alex Larson
Full name: William Alex Larson
Current rank: 139 since July 8, 2024
Highest Rank: 55 first reached Nov. 1, 2021 (4 weeks in total)
2024 race rank: 91
2022: =234
2021: =55
2020: =187
2019: 185
2018: =285
Titles/finals: 0/0
Elo Rating: 1397

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
20240106 TurboFest 2024 round of 16
Jonathon Roitman
1429
1427 P
+2
50.3 %
37.5 %
-12.8 %
Win
Lost
Loss
62
1397
-32
20220611 Madfest 2022 round of 8
Tony Kaseman
1465
1426 P
+39
55.6 %
16.7 %
-38.9 %
Win
Lost
Loss
63
1429
-36
20210925 Portland 2021 third place match
Marvin Ong
1426
1498 P
-72
39.8 %
57.1 %
+17.4 %
Lose
Won
Win
65
1465
+39
20210925 Portland 2021 semi-final
Nick Bronson
1452
1537 P
-85
38.0 %
20.0 %
-18.0 %
Lose
Lost
-
66
1426
-26
20210925 Portland 2021 round of 8
Taylor Glenn
1410 P
1500 P
-90
37.3 %
57.1 %
+19.8 %
Lose
Won
Win
68
1452
+42
20200103 TurboFest 2020 round of 16
Austin Smith
1440 P
1500 P
-60
41.5 %
37.5 %
-4.0 %
Lose
Lost
-
70
1410 P
-30
20180716 IJA 2018 round of 16
Matthieu Chatelain
1478 P
1463 P
+15
52.2 %
0.0 %
-52.2 %
Win
Lost
Loss
72
1440 P
-38
20180716 IJA 2018 round of 32
Wes Peden
1500 P
1651
-151
29.5 %
0.0 %
-29.5 %
Lose
Lost
-
74
1478 P
-22

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