Fight Night Combat - William Alex Larson

William Alex Larson

Full name:	William Alex Larson
Current rank:	=274th	since January 6, 2025
Highest Rank:	55th	first reached November 1, 2021 (4 weeks in total)
Highest Year-End Rank:	55th	(2021)
Titles/finals:	0/0
Elo Rating:	1397

Profile Tournaments Matches Rankings Rivalries

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click on column headers to sort the table.

Date	Tournament	Round	Opponent	Elo Rating Player	Opponent	Difference	Share of Points Predicted	Actual	Difference	Final Result Predicted	Actual	Difference	K-Factor	Next Elo	Change
2024‑01‑06	TurboFest 2024	round of 16	Jonathon Roitman	Lost	1429	1427 P	+2	50.3 %	37.5 %	-12.8 %	Win	Lost	Loss	62	1397	-32
2022‑06‑11	Madfest 2022	round of 8	Tony Kaseman	Lost	1465	1426 P	+39	55.6 %	16.7 %	-38.9 %	Win	Lost	Loss	63	1429	-36
2021‑09‑25	Portland 2021	third place match	Marvin Ong	Won	1426	1498 P	-72	39.8 %	57.1 %	+17.4 %	Lose	Won	Win	65	1465	+39
2021‑09‑25	Portland 2021	semi-final	Nick Bronson	Lost	1452	1537 P	-85	38.0 %	20.0 %	-18.0 %	Lose	Lost	-	66	1426	-26
2021‑09‑25	Portland 2021	round of 8	Taylor Glenn	Won	1410 P	1500 P	-90	37.3 %	57.1 %	+19.8 %	Lose	Won	Win	68	1452	+42
2020‑01‑03	TurboFest 2020	round of 16	Austin Smith	Lost	1440 P	1500 P	-60	41.5 %	37.5 %	-4.0 %	Lose	Lost	-	70	1410 P	-30
2018‑07‑16	IJA 2018	round of 16	Matthieu Chatelain	Lost	1478 P	1463 P	+15	52.2 %	0.0 %	-52.2 %	Win	Lost	Loss	72	1440 P	-38
2018‑07‑16	IJA 2018	round of 32	Wes Peden	Lost	1500 P	1651	-151	29.5 %	0.0 %	-29.5 %	Lose	Lost	-	74	1478 P	-22