Luca Pferdmenges

Profile image of Luca Pferdmenges
Full name: Luca Pferdmenges
Current rank: 50 since July 15, 2024
Highest Rank: 32 first reached April 1, 2024 (1 week in total)
2024 race rank: 31
2023: =121
2016: =73
2015: 67
Titles/finals: 0/0
Elo Rating: 1470

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
20240328 BJC 2024 Open third place match
Jon Peat
1482
1734
-252
19.0 %
28.6 %
+9.6 %
Lose
Lost
-
58
1470
-12
20240328 BJC 2024 Open semi-final
Jasper Moens
1487
1920
-433
7.6 %
0.0 %
-7.6 %
Lose
Lost
-
60
1482
-5
20240328 BJC 2024 Open round of 8
Delaney Bayles
1448
1558
-110
34.7 %
55.6 %
+20.9 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
61
1487
+39
20240328 BJC 2024 Open round of 16
Andrew Ludar-Smith
1411
1489
-78
39.0 %
71.4 %
+32.5 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
62
1448
+37
20230412 Israel 2023 round of 8
Jasper Moens
1422
1694
-272
17.3 %
16.7 %
-0.6 %
Lose
Lost
-
63
1411
-11
20160213 Havixbeck 2016 third place match
Tilman Sinning
1386
1429
-43
43.8 %
55.6 %
+11.7 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
65
1422
+36
20160213 Havixbeck 2016 semi-final
Rob van Heijst
1416
1450
-34
45.1 %
0.0 %
-45.1 %
Lose
Lost
-
66
1386
-30
20160213 Havixbeck 2016 round of 8
Philip Nicolai
1376
1438
-62
41.2 %
75.0 %
+33.8 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
68
1416
+40
20160206 Ludwigshafen 2016 round of 8
Leo Ostenrath
1414 P
1388
+26
53.7 %
46.7 %
-7.1 %
Win
Lost
Loss
70
1376
-38
20151024 Laer 2015 round of 8
Mees Jager
1461 P
1358
+103
64.4 %
44.4 %
-20.0 %
Win
Lost
Loss
72
1414 P
-47
20150502 Aachen 2015 round of 8
Stephan Cipra
1500 P
1486 P
+14
52.0 %
40.0 %
-12.0 %
Win
Lost
Loss
74
1461 P
-39

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