Dave Leahy

Profile image of Dave Leahy
Full name: Dave Leahy
Current rank: unranked since October 9, 2023
Highest Rank: 3rd first reached June 23, 2014 (5 weeks in total)
Highest Year-End Rank: 4th (2015)
Titles/finals: 5/11
Elo Rating: 1618

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click on column headers to sort the table.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
2022‑10‑08 HJW 2022
third place match
Paula Mühlmeyer
Won
1607
1489
+118
66.4 %
83.3 %
+17.0 %
Win
Won
-
35
1618
+11
2022‑10‑08 HJW 2022
semi-final
Kilian Maidhof
Lost
1616
1806
-190
25.1 %
37.5 %
+12.4 %
Lose
Lost
-
35
1607
-9
2022‑10‑08 HJW 2022
round of 8
Sander Vanpraet
Won
1609
1394
+215
77.5 %
83.3 %
+5.8 %
Win
Won
-
35
1616
+7
2017‑10‑14 HJW 2017
round of 8
Sander Vanpraet
Lost
1638
1404
+234
79.4 %
28.6 %
-50.8 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
36
1609
-29
2017‑05‑27 NJF 2017
round of 16
Roel Post
Lost
1667
1438 P
+229
78.9 %
100.0 %
+21.1 %
Win
Lost
Loss
36
1638
-29
2017‑01‑07 Dutch Juggling Championships 2017
final
Rob van Heijst
Lost
1686
1668
+18
52.6 %
28.6 %
-24.0 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
36
1667
-19
2017‑01‑07 Dutch Juggling Championships 2017
semi-final
Bas Van de Kerkhof
Won
1679
1440
+239
79.8 %
100.0 %
+20.2 %
Win
Won
-
37
1686
+7
2017‑01‑07 Dutch Juggling Championships 2017
round of 8
Maarten Willy Wils
Won
1671
1463 P
+208
76.8 %
100.0 %
+23.2 %
Win
Won
-
37
1679
+8
2016‑08‑04 EJC 2016 Almere
round of 16
Jakub Szwed
Lost
1692
1645
+47
56.7 %
0.0 %
-56.7 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
37
1671
-21
2016‑08‑04 EJC 2016 Almere
round of 32
Cristobal Bascur
Won
1681
1541 P
+140
69.1 %
83.3 %
+14.2 %
Win
Won
-
37
1692
+11
2016‑05‑06 NJF 2016
round of 16
Jordy Sanchez
Lost
1710
1509
+201
76.1 %
28.6 %
-47.5 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
38
1681
-29
2016‑02‑26 WJW 2016 Heerlen
final
Jan Poolen
Lost
1736
1609
+127
67.5 %
44.4 %
-23.1 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
38
1710
-26
2016‑02‑26 WJW 2016 Heerlen
semi-final
Julius Preu
Won
1722
1630
+92
62.9 %
100.0 %
+37.1 %
Win
Won
-
38
1736
+14
2016‑02‑26 WJW 2016 Heerlen
round of 8
Rob van Heijst
Won
1713
1519
+194
75.3 %
75.0 %
-0.3 %
Win
Won
-
39
1722
+9
2015‑12‑05 European Championships 2015
final
Eóin Allan
Lost
1728
1820
-92
37.1 %
30.8 %
-6.3 %
Lose
Lost
-
39
1713
-15
2015‑12‑05 European Championships 2015
semi-final
Florian Marienfeld
Won
1714
1625
+89
62.5 %
66.7 %
+4.1 %
Win
Won
-
39
1728
+14
2015‑12‑05 European Championships 2015
round of 8
Alex Leymann
Won
1704
1529
+175
73.3 %
75.0 %
+1.7 %
Win
Won
-
40
1714
+10
2015‑12‑05 European Championships 2015
round-robin
Eóin Allan
Lost
1722
1768
-46
43.4 %
33.3 %
-10.1 %
Lose
Lost
-
40
1704
-18
2015‑12‑05 European Championships 2015
round-robin
Brook Roberts
Lost
1749
1640
+109
65.2 %
50.0 %
-15.2 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
41
1722
-27
2015‑12‑05 European Championships 2015
round-robin
Florian Marienfeld
Won
1733
1666
+67
59.5 %
66.7 %
+7.1 %
Win
Won
-
41
1749
+16
2015‑12‑05 European Championships 2015
round-robin
Julius Preu
Won
1722
1549
+173
73.0 %
61.5 %
-11.5 %
Win
Won
-
41
1733
+11
2015‑08‑05 EJC 2015 Bruneck
third place match
Florian Marienfeld
Won
1710
1555
+155
70.9 %
83.3 %
+12.4 %
Win
Won
-
42
1722
+12
2015‑08‑05 EJC 2015 Bruneck
semi-final
Luke Burrage
Lost
1723
1873
-150
29.7 %
0.0 %
-29.7 %
Lose
Lost
-
42
1710
-13
2015‑08‑05 EJC 2015 Bruneck
round of 8
Jakub Szwed
Won
1714
1486
+228
78.8 %
62.5 %
-16.3 %
Win
Won
-
43
1723
+9
2015‑08‑05 EJC 2015 Bruneck
round of 16
Michael Masson
Won
1704
1499 P
+205
76.5 %
62.5 %
-14.0 %
Win
Won
-
43
1714
+10
2015‑06‑19 Eindhoven 2015
final
Andreas Braun
Lost
1738
1539
+199
75.9 %
44.4 %
-31.4 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
44
1704
-34
2015‑06‑19 Eindhoven 2015
semi-final
Simon À Campo
Won
1728
1533
+195
75.4 %
100.0 %
+24.6 %
Win
Won
-
44
1738
+10
2015‑06‑19 Eindhoven 2015
round of 8
Mees Jager
Won
1723
1366
+357
88.6 %
80.0 %
-8.6 %
Win
Won
-
45
1728
+5
2015‑05‑16 NJF 2015
round of 16
Eóin Allan
Lost
1757
1570
+187
74.6 %
44.4 %
-30.1 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
45
1723
-34
2015‑03‑13 WJW 2015 Heerlen
final
Sander Vanpraet
Won
1741
1641
+100
64.0 %
83.3 %
+19.3 %
Win
Won
-
46
1757
+16
2015‑03‑13 WJW 2015 Heerlen
semi-final
Jordy Sanchez
Won
1733
1485
+248
80.7 %
66.7 %
-14.0 %
Win
Won
-
46
1741
+8
2015‑03‑13 WJW 2015 Heerlen
round of 8
Rob van Heijst
Won
1725
1472
+253
81.1 %
60.0 %
-21.1 %
Win
Won
-
47
1733
+8
2015‑02‑21 Bath UpChuck 2015
final
Jon Peat
Won
1710
1586
+124
67.1 %
56.5 %
-10.6 %
Win
Won
-
47
1725
+15
2015‑02‑21 Bath UpChuck 2015
semi-final
Danny Cooper
Won
1701
1456
+245
80.4 %
75.0 %
-5.4 %
Win
Won
-
48
1710
+9
2015‑02‑21 Bath UpChuck 2015
round of 8
Tamar Fynn
Won
1689
1500 P
+189
74.8 %
75.0 %
+0.2 %
Win
Won
-
48
1701
+12
2014‑10‑17 HJW 2014 Enschede
final
Johnny Malcolm
Won
1673
1557 P
+116
66.1 %
62.5 %
-3.6 %
Win
Won
-
49
1689
+16
2014‑10‑17 HJW 2014 Enschede
semi-final
Sander Vanpraet
Won
1659
1497 P
+162
71.8 %
80.0 %
+8.2 %
Win
Won
-
50
1673
+14
2014‑10‑17 HJW 2014 Enschede
round of 8
Simon À Campo
Won
1640
1550
+90
62.7 %
100.0 %
+37.3 %
Win
Won
-
51
1659
+19
2014‑10‑11 Durham 2014
third place match
Brook Roberts
Won
1612
1649
-37
44.7 %
62.5 %
+17.8 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
51
1640
+28
2014‑10‑11 Durham 2014
semi-final
Jon Peat
Lost
1644
1572
+72
60.2 %
28.6 %
-31.6 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
52
1612
-32
2014‑10‑11 Durham 2014
round of 8
Ben Randall
Won
1627
1500 P
+127
67.5 %
100.0 %
+32.5 %
Win
Won
-
53
1644
+17
2014‑09‑26 Skjeve 2014
semi-final
Iver Tronstad
Lost
1648
1739
-91
37.2 %
20.0 %
-17.2 %
Lose
Lost
-
54
1627
-21
2014‑09‑26 Skjeve 2014
round of 8
Rob van Heijst
Won
1630
1506
+124
67.1 %
75.0 %
+7.9 %
Win
Won
-
55
1648
+18
2014‑07‑25 EJC 2014 Millstreet
round of 16
Lauge Benjaminsen
Lost
1667
1550 P
+117
66.2 %
25.0 %
-41.2 %
Win
Lost
Loss
55
1630
-37
2014‑06‑21 Eindhoven 2014
final
Simon À Campo
Won
1648
1542
+106
64.8 %
62.5 %
-2.3 %
Win
Won
-
56
1667
+19
2014‑06‑21 Eindhoven 2014
semi-final
Rob van Heijst
Won
1631
1492
+139
69.0 %
66.7 %
-2.3 %
Win
Won
-
57
1648
+17
2014‑06‑21 Eindhoven 2014
round of 8
Mees Jager
Won
1611
1500 P
+111
65.5 %
100.0 %
+34.5 %
Win
Won
-
58
1631
+20
2014‑04‑12 BJC 2014 Darton
final
Iver Tronstad
Lost
1646
1592 P
+54
57.7 %
28.6 %
-29.1 %
Win
Lost
Loss
60
1611
-35
2014‑04‑12 BJC 2014 Darton
semi-final
Brook Roberts
Won
1613
1652
-39
44.4 %
62.5 %
+18.1 %
Lose
Won
Upset Win
61
1646
+33
2014‑04‑12 BJC 2014 Darton
round of 8
Danny Cooper
Won
1593
1468
+125
67.3 %
100.0 %
+32.7 %
Win
Won
-
62
1613
+20
2014‑01‑25 Chocfest 2014
final
Brook Roberts
Lost
1628
1594
+34
54.9 %
16.7 %
-38.2 %
Win
Lost
Upset Loss
63
1593
-35
2014‑01‑25 Chocfest 2014
semi-final
Jon Peat
Won
1603
1528 P
+75
60.6 %
83.3 %
+22.7 %
Win
Won
-
65
1628
+25
2014‑01‑25 Chocfest 2014
round of 8
Twinkle
Won
1578 P
1500 P
+78
61.0 %
100.0 %
+39.0 %
Win
Won
-
66
1603
+25

© Copyright 2025, Luke Burrage. All rights reserved.